Free Week 12 Prediction: Broncos vs. Lobos Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Broncos taking on the Lobos Saturday, November 16th at Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Boise State New Mexico Week 12 free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(8-1) Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos (2-7)
Date: Saturday, November 16th, 2019
Time: 10:15 pm EST
Venue: Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Idaho
NCAA Football Spread: Boise State -27.5
NCAA Betting Total: 54
Click here to view… CFB ATS Stats & NCAAF Betting Insight for this game!
Boise State and New Mexico face off on Saturday on the Blue Turf inside of Albertsons Stadium. This game features two teams that have had two very different seasons in their first nine games. New Mexico comes into the game unranked and sitting at 2-7 on the year. The Lobos have lost their last six games and have yet to win a game on the road in 2019.
The Broncos come into this Saturday’s matchup with a much different story to tell. Boise State is ranked #19 in the AP poll and is only sitting behind Cincinnati and Memphis in the polls. They find themselves behind those two AAC teams, who play each other later in the week.
Boise State is heavy favorites coming into this home matchup at 27.5. The Broncos have struggled on offense in the past few games but look to bounce back against the Lobos.
Boise State Broncos
Last week, the Broncos had to play against Wyoming with their backup quarterback Chase Cord. Cord struggled all game only completing 19 of 30 passes and had one interception. That one interception could have been three if you saw some of the passes that were coming out of Cord’s hands.
Starting quarterback Hank Bachmeier should be able to go this week, with an undisclosed injury holding him out the last two of three games. If Bachmeier is unable to go full speed, this line could shrink a bunch. The Broncos are trying to not just win these games, but earn some style points to jump the top teams in the American conference.
The line is huge for the Broncos to cover, with a struggling offense none the less. The Lobos have not been able to move the ball so we could see the Boise State defense steal the show.
New Mexico Lobos
New Mexico has struggled on both sides of the ball in its first nine games. Only scoring 23 points a game and giving up almost 36 points has not been a recipe for success. The best part of the Lobos football team thus far has been their ability to run the ball. Over 200 yards a game the Lobos have been able to gain on the ground and take possession of the clock.
On the road in a tough environment is not somewhere that you would like to be for the Lobos after coming off six straight losses. They will be playing with virtually nothing to lose as they go into the game against Boise State.
To have a shot to win, or even cover, the Lobos will have to run the ball effectively and spread the ball to their playmakers on the outside. The Broncos secondary seems to be a weakness for the team and the Lobos could exploit this getting the play-action game going.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- BSU are 6-1-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 7-2 in BSU last 9 conference games.
- Under is 6-2 in BSU last 8 games as a home favorite.
- UNM are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 conference games.
- UNM are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- UNM are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
Boise State has not impressed anyone in the past three weeks. Losing to BYU and almost slipping up against San Jose State and Wyoming. New Mexico is nowhere near the caliber of both of these teams and Boise State should be able to get past the Lobos at home.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: New Mexico +27.5.
The Lobos have struggled to score throughout every game in 2019. The same could be said for the Boise State Broncos as they have had injury concerns for most of the year. Boise State is going to be able to win this game easily, the spread here is just way too much for the Broncos to cover.
If Boise State’s starting quarterback is healthy, they will be able to get close to covering, right now there is no indication that he will be able to start.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Boise State 38 – New Mexico 17
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