Free Week 12 Prediction: Broncos vs Lobos Odds
Looking for Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Broncos taking on the Lobos Friday November 16th at Dreamstyle Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Boise State New Mexico free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(8-2) Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos (3-7)
Date: Friday, November 16th, 2018
Time: 9:00 pm EST
Venue: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
NCAA Football Spread: Boise State Broncos -20.5
NCAA Betting Total: 63
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This Friday night matchup features the Mountain West rivals. Boise State is looking to keep their conference title hopes alive, while New Mexico is looking to spoil the Broncos season by pulling a hige upset.
Boise State won last years’ meeting 28-14. This was a lot closer than most expected, so the Broncos will be looking to dominate this game like they have in many games this year. The Broncos have won eight of the last nine game against the Lobos, and with a win this year it will make it three wins in a row.
Boise State Broncos
The Broncos kept their title hopes alive by beating Fresno State last week. The Broncos were down 17-3 before rallying to squeeze out a must win. Because of this win, the Broncos stay hot on Utah State’s tail for the Mountain division.
Like many teams in the past, the Broncos have a potent passing attack. Their quarterback, Brett Rypien has thrown for 3048 yards and has 25 touchdowns. This is return has allowed the Broncos to average 313.9 yards per game through the air. They should have no trouble moving the ball down field against a poor New Mexico pass defense.
The past two weeks for the Broncos defense have been solid overall. Especially last week against a good Fresno State team, the Broncos were able to shut down the Bulldogs offense for most of the second half, which allowed them to win.
New Mexico Lobos
The Lobos started conference play 1-0, but have now lost five in a row. With only three wins, the Lobos have clearly been eliminated from the bowl season. Their only motivation should be to eliminate their fellow division rival from the opportunity to repeat as conference champions
The Lobos may average 30.2 points per game, but overall they do not have very good offensive stats. Their quarterback, Sheriron Jones has only thrown for 1311 yards this season. He has thrown 13 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Their leading rusher is Tyrone Owens, who has 628 yards on the ground and 7 touchdowns. During their five game losing streak, the Lobos have not scored more than 24 points in a game, which will need to change if they are going to pull the upset.
The defense for the Lobos has pretty much been torched this entire year. Their pass defense especially as they allow an average of 280.9 yards per game. Since Boise State is a pass first team, the Lobos’ secondary will be the key to shut down Boise State.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Over is 9-3 in BSU last 12 Fri. games.
- BSU are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- BSU are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- UNM are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
- UNM are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games.
- Over is 8-2 in UNM last 10 games overall.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
Boise State is on a roll right now and they pick up a must win on the road.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Boise State Broncos -20.5
The Lobos’ defense is too shaky this year, which will allow the Broncos to cover.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Boise State 42 – New Mexico 20
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