Free NCAAF Pick: Bears vs. Mustangs Odds
Looking for Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Free NCAA Week 2 picks & NCAA odds? NCAAF betting sees the Bears taking on the Mustangs on 9/6 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, in SMU. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NCAA football matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAAF predictions like this Bears Mustangs free pick.
2025 NCAAF Handicapping – Baylor Bears vs SMU Mustangs
(0-1) Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs (1-0)
Date: Sep 06, 2025
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium in SMU, TX
NCAAF Moneyline Odds: Bears +112 | Mustangs -134 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAF Spread Betting Odds: Bears +2.5 | Mustangs -2.5
NCAAF Football Gambling Total: O/U: 65
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Bears vs. Mustangs Gameday
As Week 2 of the 2025 regular season unfolds, the Baylor Bears are set to visit the SMU Mustangs at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, Texas. Scheduled for a noon kickoff on Saturday, September 6th, fans can catch the action on the CW channel. Baylor, hailing from the Big 12, will be eager to bounce back from their recent home loss to the Auburn Tigers.
Meanwhile, SMU, representing the Atlantic Coast Conference, enters this matchup with momentum after a commanding victory over the East Texas A&M Lions. Currently ranked #17 by the AP and #16 in the Coaches Poll, the Mustangs are riding a one-game win streak. Their confidence will be bolstered by their strong start and home-field advantage.
In their previous outing, the Baylor Bears fell short against Auburn with a final score of 38-24. Despite throwing for an impressive 419 passing yards, their ground game struggled to gain traction. As a result, they will need to address these inconsistencies to challenge the Mustangs’ defense.
Conversely, SMU showcased a balanced attack in their 42-13 win over East Texas A&M, highlighting both their passing and rushing capabilities. With 260 passing yards and 140 rushing yards, their offense appears well-rounded and ready to face Baylor. The Mustangs will aim to maintain their winning form and protect their home turf as they eye a 2-0 start to the season.
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It’s Week 2, Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Odds & Last 5
Interestingly, the Baylor Bears find themselves as slight underdogs with a moneyline of +112, while the SMU Mustangs hold a favored position at -134. The spread indicates a close contest, with Baylor at +2.5 and SMU at -2.5. With the total set at 65.0, bettors can expect a high-scoring affair under the Dallas sun.
Previously, Baylor struggled to establish their running game in their opening loss to Auburn, which could be pivotal against SMU’s balanced attack. Despite a strong aerial performance, their inability to counter Auburn’s rushing onslaught led to a 38-24 defeat. As they hit the road for the first time this season, the Bears need to shore up their ground defense to keep SMU in check.
Conversely, SMU demonstrated offensive versatility in their season-opening 42-13 win against East Texas A&M. Their balanced offensive strategy, combining 260 passing yards with 140 on the ground, proved effective. As they prepare to defend their home field once again, the Mustangs will seek to exploit any gaps in Baylor’s defense to secure their second consecutive victory.
Mustangs Stats
Starting off the 2025 regular season with a bang, the SMU Mustangs secured a decisive 42-13 victory against the East Texas A&M Lions at their home turf, Gerald J. Ford Stadium. This win sets a positive tone for the Mustangs as they aim to continue their strong performance throughout the season. With 25 first downs and 260 passing yards, the Mustangs showcased their offensive capabilities in the opener.
In terms of offensive stats, SMU currently ranks 20th in points per game, scoring an average of 42 points. Their passing game, led by quarterback Kevin Jennings, ranks 41st with 260 passing yards, while the rushing attack sits at 70th with 140 yards. These numbers indicate a balanced offensive strategy, although there is room for improvement in the rushing department.
Defensively, the Mustangs have been impressive, allowing just 13 points, which ranks them 9th in the nation. Their ability to pressure the quarterback is evident, as they rank 5th with three sacks. Additionally, the defense has been opportunistic, ranking 3rd in both interceptions and fumbles recovered with two and one, respectively.
Kevin Jennings, the standout quarterback for SMU, delivered a solid performance with 260 passing yards and two touchdowns, placing him 36th in passing yards nationally. His leadership on the field is crucial for the Mustangs’ offensive success. However, the team will miss Tyler Van Dyke, who is out with a torn ACL, placing more responsibility on Jennings’ shoulders.
On the ground, Chris Johnson Jr. led the rushing attack with 44 yards and a touchdown, ranking 223rd nationally in rushing yards. Meanwhile, Romello Brinson emerged as a key target in the passing game, recording 121 receiving yards and a touchdown, ranking 25th in receiving yards. These players will be pivotal in driving the offense forward.
Injury concerns loom over the team, with key players like Jordan Hudson and RJ Maryland listed as questionable. Hudson’s upper-body injury and Maryland’s knee issue could impact the receiving corps’ depth. Additionally, linebacker Alexander Kilgore’s leg injury raises questions about the defense’s stability, making it essential for the Mustangs to manage these injuries effectively as they progress through the season.
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Bears Stats
Firstly, the Baylor Bears have had an intriguing start to the 2025 season. Despite a loss to the Auburn Tigers, they showcased a potent passing game, accumulating 419 passing yards, which ranks 8th in the nation. However, their rushing attack needs improvement, as they only managed 64 rushing yards, placing them 117th.
Furthermore, quarterback Sawyer Robertson demonstrated his skill by throwing for 419 yards and 3 touchdowns, leading the team in both categories. Robertson’s performance earned him the top spot in the league for passing yards and touchdowns, highlighting his importance to the Bears’ offensive strategy. Yet, the team struggled to convert these efforts into a win.
In addition, the Bears’ receiving corps was led by Kole Wilson, who made an impact with 8 receptions for 134 yards. Wilson’s performance ranks him 15th in the league for receiving yards, making him a key target for Robertson. Nevertheless, the Bears will need more contributions from other receivers to diversify their aerial attack.
On the defensive side, Baylor allowed 38 points, ranking them 27th in points against. Their defense managed just one sack and failed to record any interceptions or fumble recoveries, areas they will need to address moving forward. The absence of key players like Devin Turner due to injury might be impacting their defensive capabilities.
Moreover, the Bears are dealing with a slew of injuries, which could affect their depth and performance. Notable absences include Devin Turner, who is out for the season with a torn ACL, and Dawson Pendergrass, who is sidelined with a foot injury. These injuries could pose challenges as they navigate through the season.
Finally, despite the setbacks, Baylor’s special teams contributed positively, with kicker Connor Hawkins making one field goal and three extra points. Hawkins’ performance places him at the top of the league for extra points made, providing a reliable option for the Bears in close games. As the season progresses, Baylor will aim to balance their offensive firepower with a more robust defensive effort.
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Bears vs. Mustangs QB Matchup
Kevin Jennings, the starting quarterback for the SMU Mustangs, has made a strong impression in the early season. In his first game, he threw for 260 yards, ranking 36th in the league, and secured two passing touchdowns, placing him 35th. Although he did throw one interception, his performance still earned him 23.6 fantasy points, which ranks him 80th overall, but importantly, first on his team.
Meanwhile, Ty Hawkins, also a quarterback for the Mustangs, had a less impactful start. In his only game, he recorded zero passing yards, touchdowns, and interceptions, resulting in a mere 1.2 fantasy points. This places him at a distant 4485th in the league, reflecting his current position as the second option for SMU.
On the other side, Baylor Bears’ Sawyer Robertson has showcased a strong start to his season. In just one game, he passed for an impressive 419 yards, ranking him 6th in the league, and threw three touchdowns, which places him 13th. Notably, he avoided any interceptions, contributing to his 26.9 fantasy points, ranking him 52nd overall and first on his team.
Sawyer Robertson’s performance highlights his potential as a key player for Baylor, and his ability to avoid turnovers is a promising sign for the Bears’ offense. With a solid start, he is positioned to be a pivotal figure in their campaign, and his stats reflect a quarterback who can lead his team effectively. As the season progresses, his consistency and ability to maintain these numbers will be crucial for Baylor’s success.
Baylor Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Football Betting Trends
- Bears are 0-1 straight up in all games this season.
- Additionally, the Bears are 0-1 against the spread as an underdog.
- Bears have seen the total go over in 1 of their last 1 games.
- Mustangs are 1-0 straight up in their last game this season.
- Also, the Mustangs covered the spread in their last game.
- Mustangs’ game went over the total in their last matchup.
Bears vs Mustangs Prediction: Over 65
Baylor has stumbled early this season, surrendering 38 points in their opener. Even though their defense is ranked 27th in points against, it won’t be enough against an SMU offense that thrives on speed and explosiveness.
Meanwhile, the Mustangs put up 42 points in their first game, flashing a top-20 offense that looks built to score in bunches. That production alone makes Baylor’s defensive lapses a real liability in this matchup.
Furthermore, both squads have already cashed overs this year, showing a clear trend toward shootouts. When two teams with scoring punch and leaky defenses collide, the total naturally comes into play.
SMU’s defense looked solid early, but Baylor brings a dangerous passing attack ranked 8th nationally in yards. That mismatch could turn into chunk plays and quick strikes, fueling an up-tempo scoreboard race.
This sets the stage for a classic back-and-forth game where neither defense can completely settle in.
With the total sitting at 65.0, oddsmakers are anticipating points, and rightly so. Given the firepower on both sidelines, that number is very much within reach by the fourth quarter.
Therefore, bettors should look for a high-scoring affair at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. The over 65.0 is the strongest play, with both teams more than capable of pushing this game into shootout territory.
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NCAAF Betting Tweet Of The Day
1️⃣7️⃣ in the AP Poll pic.twitter.com/hkWV8FSRjk
— SMU Football (@SMUFB) September 2, 2025
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