Free NCAA Football Prediction: Baylor vs. Ole Miss Odds
Looking for Baylor Bears vs. Ole Miss Rebels 2021 Sugar Bowl free picks? College football betting sees the Bears taking on the Rebels on Saturday, January 4, 2021, at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game 2021 Sugar Bowl predictions like this Bears Rebels free pick….
College Football Handicapping Analysis: 2021 Sugar Bowl
Baylor Bears (11-2) vs. Ole Miss Rebels (10-2)
Date: Saturday, January 1st, 2021
Time: 8:45 pm EST
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Bears -1.5 / Rebels +1.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Baylor -120 / Ole Miss +100
NCAA Betting Total Odds: O/U 54.5
The Sugar Bowl will feature the #7 Baylor Bears and the #8 Ole Miss Rebels on New Years Day from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA.
Baylor clinched a spot in the BIG-12 Championship due to Oklahoma State taking down rival Oklahoma in bedlam. The Bears thanked the Cowboys by ending their playoff aspirations on a last second goal line stand which game them a 21-16 victory.
Ole Miss didn’t play in a conference championship but that’s hard to do when the teams playing in the game are both in the CFP Playoff. Regardless, the Rebels ran through the SEC gauntlet and claimed its first 10-win regular season season in program history and clinched a New Year’s Six bowl berth.
Who will come out on top and get to celebrate in “The Big Easy”?
After Baylor lost to TCU in the first week of November, its chances of making the Big 12 Championship Game didn’t look great. But then the Bears knocked off Oklahoma as a part of three-game winning streak to close the regular season and got some help from Oklahoma State in the final weekend to leapfrog the Sooners for a spot in the title game.
Baylor returned the favor by forcing four turnovers and coming up with a huge goal-line stand to beat the Cowboys and win the Big 12 Championship 21-16. Not too shabby for Dave Aranda’s team just a year removed from a 2-7 campaign.
The Bears powered their way to an 11-2 season behind a top-20 scoring defense and a top-20 run game. Gerry Bohanon is driving force for this Baylor offense in the air and on the ground. The star QB will make his return to the starting lineup after missing the Oklahoma State game due to a hamstring injury.
Ole Miss Rebels
Sometimes it pays to be a conference’s third-best team, which is exactly what Ole Miss was in 2021. The Rebels went 10-2 for a second-place finish in the SEC West, but find themselves in their first New Year’s Six game under Lane Kiffin after Alabama and Georgia both reached the CFP.
Make no mistake, this is a good offensive football team. Ole Miss ranks fifth in yards per game at 506.7 and scored almost 36 points per game. That starts and ends with potential 1st round pick Matt Corral, who is up to 3,936 total yards and 31 total touchdowns ahead of his final college game.
Ole Miss last played against rival Mississippi State in the “Egg Bowl”. The Rebels won 31-21 and left Starkville riding high with a rivalry win but more importantly finishing with their first 10 win season in program history.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Baylor is 9-4 ATS this season
- Baylor UNDERS are 7-6 this season
- Baylor UNDERS have hit in 4 straight
- Ole Miss is 8-4 ATS this season
- Ole Miss UNDERS are 9-3 this season
- Ole Miss UNDERS have hit in 7 straight
4* Free Sugar Bowl NCAA Betting Pick: Rebels ML & UNDER
This is one of my favorite matchups of the bowl season as the team’s contrast each other well which could make for a great game.
Baylor likes to win on the ground and in the trenches as they have one of the best running games and defenses in the country. Lane Kiffin is notorious for his offensive prowess and putting up points which has elevated Matt Corrall to one of the best quarterbacks in the nation.
This line is so thin there is no real reason to take it unless you’re going with Baylor, I am not. I like the Rebels more in this game and think they have the ability to stretch out the Bears defense. Matt Corral is also too mature to turn the ball over as many times as Oklahoma State did a week ago.
Take the Rebels to win and the total to go UNDER as both teams have been on a roll with finishing under the points.
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