Ray “The Razor” Monohan – Last Updated on December 22, 2022 6:56 am
Free NCAA Football Prediction: Baylor vs. Air Force Odds
Looking for Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons free picks? College football betting sees the Bears taking on the Falcons on Thursday, December 22nd, at Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Bears Falcons free pick for the 2022 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Bowl.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons
2022 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Baylor Bears 6-6 vs. Air Force Falcons 9-3
Date: Thursday, December 22nd
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Bears -6.5 / Falcons +6.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Bears -250 / Falcons +205
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 49.5
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- SCROLL DOWN FOR our Baylor Air Force Free Pick – 2022 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Bowl
This will be Baylor’s 27th Bowl game all-time. Last season they played in the Sugar Bowl, defeating No. 8 Ole Miss, 21-7 and covering as 1-point favorites.
Air Force is set to participate in its 28th Bowl game all-time. Last season they were in the Servepro First Responder Bowl, taking down Louisville, 31-28, covering as 1-point favorites.
Baylor Bears
Offensive Season Stats
On the season, Baylor is scoring 33.6 points per game. That number ranks 31st in the country.
Through the air, this team collects 235.1 yards per contest, which ranks 61st.
On the ground, they average 194.1 yards per game—a number that puts them in the No. 33 spot on the year.
Defensive Season Stats
On the season, Baylor is giving up 26.6 points per game.
Through the air, this team allows 232.8 yards per contest.
On the ground, they give up an average of 137.6 yards per game.
Notable Stat
The Bears are 6-2 when they force the other team into at least one fumble ever since 2021, which is tied for the 10th-best mark across all Power 5 programs. (Check this against Air Force’s Notable Stat below.)
Baylor beat three eventual Bowl teams this season in Oklahoma, Kansas and Texas Tech.
Four times this year the Bears eclipsed the 40-point mark.
Injury Report
- Gavin Holmes, WR (QUESTIONABLE)
- Drake Dabney, TE (OUT)
- Taye McWilliams, RB (OUT)
Air Force Falcons
Offensive Season Stats
On the season, Air Force scores 27.7 points per game. That number ranks 753rd in the country.
Through the air, this team collects 67.8 yards per contest—a number that ranks dead last across FBS this season.
On the ground, they average 330.9 yards per game—a number that ranks No. 1 across FBS this season.
Defensive Season Stats
On the season, Air Force gives up 13.3 points per game, which places them 3rd in the nation behind on the No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs and the No. 1 Illinois Fighting Illini.
Through the air, this team allows 156.7 yards per contest, which ranks No. 2 in the country.
On the ground, they give up an average of 99.8 yards per game—a number that puts them in the top 10 across FBS entering the postseason.
Notable Stat
The Falcons are 10-2 when they avoid losing at least one fumble ever since 2021, which puts them in a tie for the No. 8 ranking across all FBS programs. (Check that against Baylor’s Notable Stat above.)
Air Force is making its sixth appearance in this Bowl game, which is more than any other program despite not having been here since 2015.
This team is currently riding a season-best four-game win streak straight up.
Injury Report
- Cade Harris, WR (OUT)
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games
- Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
- Bears are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
- Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
4* 2022 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl Bowl Baylor vs. Air Force NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
Since the 2014 season, the Armed Forces Bowl has been the second-highest scoring affair among all Bowl games.
The only annual meet that’s more of a barnburner? Check Pasadena, California for the Grand Daddy Of Them All.
Expect a shootout here, which won’t bode well for an Air Force team whose quarterback has thrown for just 839 yards all season, which ranks works across all FBS.
Give this one to the Bears, and give it to them by a comfortable margin.
4* Baylor Bears vs. Air Force Falcons NCAA Betting Pick: Baylor -6.5
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