Free NCAA Football Prediction: Auburn vs. Mississippi State Odds
Looking for Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? College football betting sees the Tigers taking on the Bulldogs on Saturday, November 5th, at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, MS. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long, so stay tuned for more FREE college football game predictions like this Tigers Bulldogs free pick.
College Football Handicapping Analysis: Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Auburn Tigers 3-5 vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs 5-3
Date: Saturday, November 5th
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium Starkville
NCAA Football ATS Spread Odds: Tigers 12.5 / Bulldogs -12.5 (Bet Now!)
NCAA Football Moneyline Odds: Tigers 370 / Bulldogs -500
NCAA Betting Total Odds: Total O/U 51
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Auburn Tigers
The Tigers have an overall record of 3-5 coming into this week’s game. They are currently 1-4 in SEC action.
Auburn is coming off a 14-point loss to Arkansas by a score of 41-27. The Tigers entered the game as 3.5-point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss. The Tigers dropped their last game to Arkansas by a score of 41-27. Auburn entered the action as 3.5-point underdogs at home.
On offense, the Tigers are averaging 22.88 points per game, good for 122nd in the NCAA. So far, a majority of their touchdowns have come on the ground, as they have rushed for 16, while throwing for 6.
Heading into the game, the Tigers will hope for some improved play from their defense, as they are currently 95th at 29.88 points per game allowed.
Looking back on their last 10 games, the Tigers have an ATS record of just 3-7-0. In addition, their straight-up record is only 3-7-0. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 5-5-0. Auburn has a negative scoring differential in these games, averaging 21.8 points per game and allowing 28.0.
Although Auburn has a straight-up record of 1-4-0 in their last 5 road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3-0. The team averaged 20.4 points per game in these games.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
This year, the Bulldogs have a 2-3 record in SEC action. The team’s overall record is 5-3.
Mississippi State is coming off a 24-point loss to Alabama by a score of 30-6. The Bulldogs entered the game as 21.0 point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss.
The Bulldogs head into the game with the 60th-ranked scoring offense at 31.75 points per game. Currently, they have scored a majority of their touchdowns through the air, with 23 receiving touchdowns compared to 9 rushing scores.
Going into the game, the Bulldogs’ defensive unit is 48th in the NCAA in points allowed per game at 22.88.
Over their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have covered the spread at a rate of 50.0%. In these games, they posted a straight-up mark of 5-5-0. Their last 10 over-under record comes in at 4-6-0. Mississippi State has a positive scoring differential in these games, averaging 28.2 points per game and allowing 24.8.
Across their last 5 home contests, Mississippi State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-1-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1-0 while averaging 39.4 points per game.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Auburn’s last 14 games on the road
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Auburn
- Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
4* Auburn vs. Mississippi State NCAA Betting Final Analysis:
This season, Auburn has struggled to move the ball through the air, averaging just 217.25 passing yards per game. This week, the Tigers will be facing a Mississippi State defense that is ranked 83rd in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they are averaging 234.17 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50 in passing defense.
In the passing game, the Bulldogs are currently one of the leading groups in the country, at 320.25 yards per game through the air. This week, the Bulldogs will be facing an Auburn defense ranked 32nd in pass yards allowed per game. So far, they have averaged 254.33 yards per game when facing top 25 pass defenses.
4* Auburn Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA Betting Pick: Mississippi State ATS
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