Free NCAA Pick: Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Odds
Looking for Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Northern Illinois Huskies free NCAA 2023 Camellia Bowl picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Red Wolves taking on the Huskies on Saturday, December 23rd at the Cramton Bowl. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Bowl games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Arkansas State Northern Illinois matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Camellia Bowl
(6-6) Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (6-6)
Date: Saturday, December 23rd
Time: 12:00 ET
Venue: Cramton Bowl, Montgomery, AL
Camellia Bowl ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Arkansas State -1 | Northern Illinois +1
Moneyline Odds: Arkansas State -113 | Northern Illinois -109
College Football Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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The Northern Illinois University Huskies will make their 12th bowl appearance in the last 16 seasons, heading to Montgomery, AL for the 2023 Camellia Bowl. This is their 20th bowl game in NIU school history, with 14 of those 15 since 2004.
Arkansas State concluded the 2022/23 Football season with a 6-6 record, including a 4-4 standing in the Sun Belt Conference, sharing second place in the West Division. The Camellia Bowl marks their first postseason appearance since 2019, this is their 18th bowl game in school history.
These two teams share a history. Their last encounter was in Alabama in 2011, where NIU triumphed 38-20 in the 2012 GoDaddy.com Bowl. Overall, NIU leads the series 7-1.
Arkansas State and Northern Illinois did not have any head-to-head matchups last season.
Make sure you check out the transfer portal updates for this game before you lay some $ down on this one.
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Arkansas State Red Wolves
Arkansas State will be looking to rebound from a 35-21 loss to Marshall in their most recent game. The Red Wolves fell behind early, trailing by -14 after the first quarter.
This season, Arkansas State has gone into all of their games as the underdog and have an ATS mark of 6-5. So far, their average scoring margin is -3.4 points per contest.
Over 12 games, the average over/under line for Arkansas State’s games has been 55.6 points.
The total score in these matchups has averaged 58.9 points, resulting in an OU record of 6-5.
Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats
Arkansas State’s rushing attack is ranked 52nd in college football with 426 rushing attempts per game.
This has translated into an average of 152.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 72nd nationally. On average, they are attempting 28.3 passes per game leading to 223.4 passing yards per contest. In terms of scoring, they hold the 55th position, averaging 27.8 points per game.
Defensively, the Red Wolves defense has come up with 23 sacks this season and are 1st in quarterback hurries. Overall, they are allowing 31.2 points per contest (133rd). Against the pass, they are 155th in the NCAA, having allowed 261.7 passing yards allowed per game.
Arkansas State is giving up 184.3 rushing yards per contest.
In the passing game, the Red Wolves threw the ball 38 times for 263 and one score against Marshall. On the ground, they averaged 1.6 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
FACT: Arkansas State’s Football team rebounded after a rough start, losing its first two games by a combined 107 points.
Northern Illinois Huskies
Northern Illinois is coming off a 37-27 win over Kent State. The Huskies set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 10-0 after the first quarter.
So far, Northern Illinois has been favored seven times and the underdog in three games. This has led to an ATS record of 4-6 and an average scoring differential of +4.1.
This season, Northern Illinois holds an over/under record of 5-5. On average, their games have produced a combined total of 46.4 points, with the typical over/under line set at 47.4 points.
Northern Illinois Huskies Stats
The Huskies’ offense is set to face Arkansas State while averaging 179.5 rushing yards per game and 5 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 45th for rushing yards and 106th for passing yards, with an average of 186.2 yards per matchup.
Overall, Northern Illinois is putting up 25.2 points per game, which is 67th nationally.
Through the air, the Huskies’ attempted 18 passes against Kent State, gaining 183 yards and securing one score. On the ground, they maintained an average of 6.1 yards per carry, resulting in three rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, the Huskies enter the game with 23 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 21.2 points per game thus far this season (73rd). In terms of pass defense, they’re 18th in the NCAA, giving up 164.2 passing yards per game.
Against the run, Northern Illinois has allowed 154 rushing yards per contest thus far.
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Northern Illinois Huskies NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Red Wolves are 3-2 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Red Wolves are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Huskies have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Red Wolves’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Huskies’ have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last 3 games at home.
Arkansas State vs. Northern Illinois Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Red Wolves | -118 | -113 | -1.5 | -1 |
Huskies | -102 | -109 | +1.5 | +1 |
4* Free 2023 Camellia Bowl NCAA Betting Prediction: Arkansas State -1
If you want to make smart bets on the Camellia Bowl, I’ve got the info you need. Our offshore oddsmakers think the Camellia Bowl is going to be tight. For the moneyline bet, the smart move is to take Arkansas State. I not only anticipate them securing the win against Northern Illinois but also covering the spread.
In this matchup, I’m counting on the Arkansas State offense to take advantage of an NIU defense that has allowed opponents to increase their passing yards per attempt in two straight games.
Arkansas State has done well recently, covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games and winning 4 out of 5 when they were the favorites. On the other hand, Northern Illinois hasn’t been as strong, with a 1-4 ATS record in their last 5 games and only 1 win in their last 9 December games.
I like Arkansas State -1 in this one.
Arkansas State’s games have seen a combined average of 58.9 points this season. Given the current over/under line of 53.5, I’m going with the over.
Now, if you’re into over/under bets, here’s some useful data to help you make a confident choice for this matchup.
The over has hit in the last 5 bowl games where Northern Illinois was the underdog, and it’s also hit in their last 5 bowl games overall. Additionally, in December games, the over has hit in 6 out of their last 7.
2023 Camellia Bowl Handicapping
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Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Northern Illinois Huskies NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
𝑩𝑶𝑾𝑳 𝑻𝑰𝑴𝑬🐺🗣️
We take on Northern Illinois for the 10th Anniversary @CamelliaBowl ‼️
🗓️ Saturday, December 23rd
🕚 11:00AM CT
🏟️ Cramton Bowl
📺 ESPN#WolvesUp x #ADifferentBreed pic.twitter.com/sZpnYX6ZmO— Arkansas State Football (@AStateFB) December 3, 2023
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