Free Week 12 Prediction: Razorbacks vs Bulldogs Odds
Looking for Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs free picks? Week 12 betting sees the Razorbacks taking on the Bulldogs Saturday November 17th at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NCAA football season long so stay tuned for more FREE college football predictions like this Arkansas Mississippi State free pick.
College Football Handicapping: Week 12
(2-8) Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (6-4)
Date: Saturday, November 17th, 2018
Time: 12:00 pm EST
Venue: Davis Wade Stadium, Starkville, Mississippi
NCAA Football Spread: Mississippi State Bulldogs -21
NCAA Betting Total: 46
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This games features a SEC West division rivalry that does not have much impact. Arkansas is clearly is the midst of a rebuild and Mississippi State has a first year head coach, who has had a disappoint year. The Bulldogs will look to at least improve their bowl game while Arkansas will be looking for their first conference win
Last year Mississippi State went into Arkansas and came away with a 28-21 win. They will now look to win a second consecutive game against the Razorbacks when they host them Saturday afternoon.
The Razorbacks have not had many bright spots this season as their has been disatrous basically from week two when they lost to Colorado State. They actually did play a very close game with LSU, but overall they are clearly the worst team in the SEC. Their coach has since been fired, so expect the Razorbacks to try and win a game or two in the final weeks for their interim coach
The offense has been one of the main issues as when their defense keeps them in games they cannot take advantage by putting points on the board. They only average 25.4 points per game, which clearly has caused problems, especially in a conference like the SEC. The Razorbacks will be going up against a very good defensive line, so expect them to struggle the entire game.
The Razorbacks defense has been bad this year, but a lot of their rush defense is actually average. They allow an average of 158 rushing yards per game, which is Mississippi State’s main form of offense, so they may actually have some success in stopping the Bulldogs run game.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
Last week was a strange one for the Bulldogs as they were shut out 24-0 by Alabama. Despite that scoreline it was not as bad as it looked. A controversial penalty took away a touchdown from the Bulldogs and a terrible punt basically gave the Tide a walk in touchdown. The Bulldogs were able to bring a ton of pressure and get to the Alabama quarterback quite often. While this season may have been disappointing, their team should only improve and year two under Jimbo Fisher could be a great one.
Mississippi State loves to run the ball. Their quarterback, Nick Fitzgerald is their leading rusher and of course their leading passer. Fitzgerald is the key to pretty much every game for the Bulldogs. When he has a clean game and is able to run on the defense, the Bulldogs seem to have a ton of success. When he makes mistakes and throws interceptions the Bulldogs struggle.
While their record may not show it, the Bulldogs have one of the better defenses in the country. They only allow an average of 13.5 points per game, 281.3 total yards per game, and 166.8 passing yards per game. All of these stats are top 10 in the country and should lead to a dominating defensive performance against Arkansas.
NCAA Football Handicapping Trends
- Under is 18-5 in MSST last 23 games overall.
- MSST are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 conference games.
- Under is 47-22-1 in MSST last 70 conference games.
Free Week 12 NCAA Football Pick
Mississippi State will win this game, but it will be closer than most people think.
4* Free NCAA Betting Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks +21
The Bulldogs have had some struggles on offense this year which will allow the Razorbacks to hang around and end up covering.
Week 12 Free Score Prediction: Arkansas 17 – Mississippi State 28
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