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NCAA Football News NCAAF Previews NCAAF Sportsbooks
Posted on 12/22/2007 10:25:33 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Bowl Betting – Pirates vs. Broncos
Dec. 23 — Hawaii Bowl Preview at Honolulu, East Carolina (7-5) vs. Boise State (10-2), 8 p.m. (ESPN)
Preview
The upstarts from Boise State won’t be making any massive upsets in the BCS Bowl Series this season, but a trip to Hawaii to duke it out in the Hawaii Bowl is hardly a bad way to end the season. The East Carolina Pirates sail to the sunny island state as double-digit road dogs and will have to take on one of the most prolific offenses in the country.
East Carolina Offense vs. Boise State Defense
The Pirates will have to attack a defense that only gives up 20.0 points per game, and pins rushing attacks to the mat with 117.2 yards against on average. East Carolina leans heavily on running-back Chris Johnson, who averages 5.8 yards per game. However, the front-four for Boise destroys opposing front lines and holds opponents to 3.4 yards per carry. They love busting up the backfield for losses.
The tandem of Rob Kass and Patrick Pinkney have been decent in a rotating quarterback system averaging 206.6 yards per game between them. The Boise State secondary is fairly stiff and only gives up 211.6 yards per game.
Boise State will focus all of their attention on shutting down the enigmatic Johnson, who has an amazingly varied skill set and is as versatile as they come. If Johnson fails to get going early, Boise State will roll in this one.
Boise State Offense vs. East Carolina Defense
Everyone is aware of how insanely unpredictable the Boise State offense can be. The Broncos average 283.6 yards per game through the air and a dazzling 193.1 yards on the ground. The defense for the Pirates is atrocious. They allow 290.2 pass yards, 146.3 rushing yards and 29.8 points per game.
The Broncos average 42.8 points per game and will have their way with this paltry defense. The offensive line will be the key to Boise State as they win the battle in the trenches, and the war on the scoreboard.
NCAAF Betting Trends
-East Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
-East Carolina is 8-17 SU in its last 25 road games
-Boise State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
-Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
-total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State’s last 5 games
Final Verdict
Anyone wily enough out there to think that Boise State is going to sleep against East Carolina is nuts. On the national stage in prime time, Boise State will romp all over a listless East Carolina defense as Chris Johnson gets shut down by a fast and determined Broncos defense. Bet happily on the Broncos despite a massive spread as a present to yourself.
East Carolina Pirates (7-5) vs. Boise State Broncos (10-2)
Sunday, December 23rd — Aloha Stadium, Hawaii — 8:00pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Line: Boise State -11 (72)
NCAA Football Betting Free Pick: East Carolina 24 Boise State 45
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