Diamondbacks vs. Braves Preview + Free Pick May 23rd, 2008
By: Cappers Picks Staff
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MLB Wagering Free Picks – Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves
The Arizona Diamondbacks, (28-19, 24-22 RL) have been generally the best moneymaking online betting team in all of baseball since the start of the 2008 MLB regular season, but have dropped three straight sports wagering contests and four of five in the Top Sportsbooks online sportsbook heading into tonight’s baseball betting matchup with baseball’s best home team, the Atlanta Braves, (26-21, 29-18 RL), winners of five straight home games and six of their last seven.
The Diamondbacks, whose three-game sweep in the Top Sportsbooks Sportsbook by the Florida Marlins was completed with Thursday’s 4-0 shutout loss, will turn to veteran right-hander Doug Davis, (1-1, 3.72 ERA) in his first start since returning from a bout with thyroid cancer that led to surgery.
Davis had a cancerous thyroid gland removed April 10, just two days after making his second start of the season but has since been given a clean bill of health and allowed to return to pitching for Arizona after making two of rehab starts for Triple-A Tucson.
“I’m just going to treat it like any other start,” Davis said. “There’s nothing special about it, really. It’s just another start. I’ll get out there and try to execute my game plan, and that’s the bottom line.”
Davis may be fairly calm about his return, but every other Diamondbacks player is excited.
“He’s a mainstay in our clubhouse and a guy that’s very well-respected here,” manager Bob Melvin said. “We all felt for him for what’s he’s going through, but I think he’s the type of guy that doesn’t want to put any extra distractions on the team. He just wants to move on past this thing and go about his business.”
Davis will be facing a Braves team that is one fire, having swept the New York Mets in their four-game set while outscoring their NL East counterparts 27-9.
The Braves picked up their most impressive win on Thursday, beating crafty Mets lefty Johan Santana 4-2 and getting a whopping 12 hits off Santana – more than he’s ever allowed in a single game in his spectacular career.
“I don’t think anyone thought we’d sweep those guys,” said Tim Hudson, who pitched eight innings for the win. “It’s big, 7-2 against that club makes a pretty good statement.”
Atlanta third baseman Chipper Jones is batting a major league-best .412
Arizona will try to end their modest losing streak against Atlanta left-hander Jo-Jo Reyes (2-1, 4.12), who helped the Braves start their winning streak by limiting the Oakland A’s to two runs in five innings of Sunday’s 5-2 .
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Wagering Free Picks:
The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Davis’ last six starts vs. National League East.
The Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Davis’ last six starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Braves are 4-0 in Reyes’ last four starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
The Braves are 4-0 in Reyes’ last four starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
The Under is 6-1 in Davis’ last seven road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Under is 4-0-1 in Reyes’ last five starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Diamondbacks are 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Atlanta.
The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in the last ten meetings.
Analysis: While the Braves are playing at home and have been baseball’s best home team, I’m going with the Arizona Diamondbacks to win this game specifically for now, cancer-free returning starter Doug Davis as their emotions – and adrenaline – will likely both be running very high.
MLB Free Picks: Diamondbacks 5 Braves 4
07:35 PM EST MLB Odds
Doug Davis – L +1½ -165
Jo-Jo Reyes – L -1½ +145
Over 10 -110
Under 10 -110
MLB@ National League
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