Chiefs vs. Texans Free Pick
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Posted on 9/7/2007 5:36:08 PM
NFL Football Betting – Chiefs vs Texans
Kansas City Chiefs (+3) vs. Houston Texans (-3)
The NFL betting line in this game is 3 points against the Texans. According to traditional NFL football spread analysis, the home team is almost always accorded 3 points if everything is equal.
That’s what makes this play so good. Things are definitely NOT equal between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Houston Texans. While the Houston Texans improved their offense dramatically by trading for quarterback Matt Schaub and signing Ahman Green to carry the ball, the Chiefs went backwards in the off-season, only signing Larry Johnson two weeks ago and failing to name a starting QB until last week. They also have a very, very young defensive backfield.
The starter at QB for the Chiefs will be Damon Huard and, if last year is any indication, he is going to start the year off well against the Texans – – right? Hold on a second there!
The Texans’ defense should be much improved this year with DeMeco Ryans and the fella chosen before Reggie Bush, aka Mario Williams, having a year under their belts. The offense might be close to explosive with Andre Johnson catching Matt Schaub passes and the before mentioned Ahman Green running through the tackles.
Trends are virtually meaningless as the Texans are so different this year from last year that the teams can’t be compared. Kansas City, usually a very good September team, will find it difficult to get through the month with more than one win. While the Texans, a traditional doormat, look to improve significantly.
Kansas City might give the ball to Larry Johnson ten or fifteen times, which does not bode well for the team. With Ryans and Williams in their front seven, the Texans should be able to shut down any running game the Chiefs put forth outside of Johnson. That leaves Huard to throw the ball to a guy named Samie Parker and the aging Eddie Kennison. Sure, Tony Gonzalez is still there, but the Texans counter with Ryan.
Patrick Surtain, Ty Law, and Donnie Edwards are all too old to handle an RB like Ahman Green and a wide receiver like Andre Johnson. Flip it around and Michael Bennet, Damon Huard, Eddie Kennison and Tony Gonzalez, as great as he is, are too old to get through a defense made up of DeMeco Ryans, Mario Williams, Dunta Robinson, and Amobi Okoye.
The NFL Betting Line: Houston Texans – 3 points against the spread. Take the home team, the Houston Texans, in this one.
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