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Posted on 11/16/2007 8:39:45 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
Football Betting: Kansas City (+ 14.5) vs. Indianapolis (- 14.5)
Okay, now the Colts haven’t lost three games in a row since 2003. So, the chances of the Chiefs pulling off an upset is pretty minimal.
But, any time I see a 1 followed by another number in a point spread, I have to take a look. This is the NFL where teams routinely play each other very tough. The Colts are favored in this game by more than two touchdowns. Two touchdowns! Normally, I would always go with the team getting over two touchdowns, but the Chiefs made a key change in their line-up, which I will get too shortly, that makes me wonder about this game.
Before getting to that, throw out the trends and just take a peek at the injury report for the Indianapolis Colts:
Dallas Clark – Probable
Marvin Harrison – Doubtful
Dwight Freeney – I-R
Anthony Gonzalez – Out
Bob Sanders – Questionable
That’s virtually a who’s-who of the Indianapolis Colts! How deep are the Colts if they can lose four key players – – Harrison, Freeney, Clark, and Sanders – – for one game and then still win by more than two touchdowns? Who are these guys? The Justice League?
But, the Chiefs made a key line-up change. Instead of going with Damon Huard, who is listed as day-to-day on the injury report, the Chiefs will start Bradie Croyle at quarterback. So, what happens now?
You’ve got the banged-up Colts versus a quarterback who could be Joe Montana or Bubby Brister.
You just don’t know. Stay away from this game? Hog-wash!
The spread is 14.5. Croyle’s passer rating so far this year is a paltry 74.7. That looks bad and Larry Johnson, the KC RB, is out, but wait – – the Colts injuries, the fact that the line is so high – – I don’t know. I’ve got to say. I’m feeling the Chiefs.
The NFL betting line is Kansas City Chiefs + 14.5 against the spread versus the Indianapolis Colts.
Free NFL Pick
Take the Chiefs because the Chiefs D will actually play better in this one than the Colts D. The Colts D won’t be able to overcome the loss of both Freeney and Sanders and that means that the Chiefs beat this spread.
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