Chiefs vs. Chargers NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 9/29/2007 9:43:59 PM
NFL Betting Odds – Kansas City Chiefs (+13) at San Diego Chargers (-13)
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Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The Kansas City Chiefs (1-2 SU, 1-1 ATS, 0-3 O/U) got their first win of the season last week by beating the young Minnesota Vikings 13-10. The Chiefs do have several problematic areas, first and foremost their inept offensive line which has contributed heavily to the team’s 29th-ranked offense and 31st-ranked rushing attack.
The Chargers (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U) have lost two consecutive games since beating the Chicago Bears in their season opener and it is clear this team has some serious problems at the moment despite their frighteningly talented roster. San Diego is ranked a dismal 27th on offense despite having the game’s best running back, a promising young quarterback and one of the top tight ends in the game. The Chargers have also tumbled on the defensive side of the football, falling all the way to 22nd overall from their lofty top-10 perch of last season.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Football Betting Picks:
Key Chiefs Trends
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
The Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC West.
The Chiefs are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Key Chargers Trends
The Chargers are 13-3-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. loss.
The Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 4.
The Chargers are 13-4-3 ATS in their last 20 vs. AFC West.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games as a road underdog.
The Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 games as an underdog.
The Over is 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
The Over is 5-1 in Chargers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
The Chiefs are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Analysis: While I like the Chargers to win this game outright, I’m having a hard time seeing them wining this game by 15 points unless they instantly transform into the Chargers of last season. Take the Chiefs to cover the spread with another solid defensive effort.
NFL Free Picks: Chargers 24 Chiefs 17
04:15 PM EST NFL Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +13 -110
San Diego Chargers -13 -110
Over 40 -110
Under 40 -110
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