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Posted on 02/11/2008 3:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
NBA Betting Lock Alert – Cleveland at Orlando
Our Sportsbooks: The Cleveland Cavaliers, (28-22 SU, 22-27 ATS, 24-24-1 O/U) may have made returned to small pack, (and I do mean small) of elite teams in the eastern conference, with their 16-6 straight up mark in their last 22 games, but the Cavs have lost two of three and took an unabashed beating in their last contest, getting absolutely routed by the Denver Nuggets last night 113-83 despite playing in the confines of their home arena.
Things got so bad that LeBron James sat out the entire fourth quarter after scoring 30 points through three periods but seeing his team trailing the Nuggets by 26 points entering the fourth quarter.
“We know we can play better,” James said. “It was one game. That’s something we can fix.”
The Orlando Magic, (32-20 SU, 32-19-1 ATS, 26-24-2 O/U) also drooped their second game in its last three outings, losing to the Los Angeles Lakers 117-113 at home on Friday despite scoring a whopping 44 points in the first period on 75 percent shooting from the field.
Magic sharpshooter Hedo Turkoglu is in the midst of his finest season, averaging 19.4 points, 6.2 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. Turkoglu scored 16 against the Lakers but have watched the production and contributions of free agent small forward Rashard Lewis decline sharply recently.
“I think he’s always had great ability – he’s been one of the most versatile guys in this league since he’s come in,” Magic coach Stan Van Gundy said. “You would always see flashes of great play, games where he would put it all together. This is the longest period of time that he’s ever done it.”
The Cavaliers will likely be without starting power forward Drew Gooden, reserve guard Daniel Gibson and swingman Sasha Pavlovic.
Here is a look at some key trends followed by my NBA Betting Picks.
The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Monday games.
The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
The Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Magic are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on two days rest.
The Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last five vs. NBA Southeast.
The Under is 4-0 in Magic last four vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
The Over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Orlando.
Analysis: This pick is an absolute ‘lock’ NBA Betting community as the Cavaliers will cover this high spread with ease after getting routed in their last game. If nothing else, expect LeBron James to single-handedly help the Cavaliers cover the spread while giving them a fair chance at winning outright.
NBA Free Picks: Cavaliers + 8 ½ Points/ Over 196½ Total Points
07:05 PM EST NBA Betting Odds
Cleveland Cavaliers +8½ -110
Orlando Magic -8½ -110
Over 196½ -110
Under 196½ -110
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