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Posted on 11/21/2007 8:05:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
Football Betting – NFL Home Dogs Week 12
Of five home dogs last week, only one was able to bark. The New York Jets stunned the Pittsburgh Steelers and won outright as 10.5 dogs. Let’s look forward to Week 12:
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions (+4)
The Green Bay Packers are definitely the stronger team here but the Detroit Lions don’t lose very often at home. They did last week as Jon Kitna threw two costly interceptions (only one being his fault) last in the fourth quarter to kills the Lions chance. This week for Detroit, it is do or die. If they fall and slip to 6-5 their playoff hopes will drift away. To be frank, they need this game more than Green Bay does.
NFL Free Picks: Detroit +4
Indianapolis Colts @ Atlanta Falcons (+14)
The wheels have been coming off of the Atlanta Falcons bus for a while now. On Thanksgiving, they are 14-point dogs to the Indianapolis Colts. It’s hard to lay that many points with the Colts right now, given all of their injuries. They squeaked by the Kansas City Chiefs last week, who started a rookie quarterback on the road. The Atlanta Falcons, for all their problems, are somewhat competitive as long as they don’t turn the ball over.
NFL Free Picks: Atlanta +14
Tennessee Titans @ Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5)
Not many teams in the NFL lose back-to-back home games and I don’t expect the Bengals to be one of them. The Tennessee Titans defense was exposed a bit on Monday night and now on a short week, travel on the road again. Carson Palmer had an awful game last week and the likelihood of that happening two weeks in a row is unlikely.
NFL Free Picks: Cincinnati (+1.5)
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams (+3)
The Seattle Seahawks have woken up over the past two weeks as Mike Holmgren is following the pattern of his former team, the Green Bay Packers, and focusing on the pass and ignoring the run. Now that the Seahawks are being productive on offense, their defense is spending less time on the field. This week they are in tough against the St. Louis Rams, who have regained their confidence off of a bye week. Their win in San Francisco last week is more credible than it looks.
NFL Free Picks: St. Louis +3
New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers (+3)
It’s hard to take any points with the Carolina Panthers. They are not moving the ball on offense at all and are putting their defense in position to fail consistently. The Panthers have yet to win at home this season and have won all four of their games on the road. The Saints are nothing spectacular themselves, but against a team that simply can’t score, should be able to win by more than a field goal.
NFL Free Picks: New Orleans -3
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