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Posted on 11/02/2007 8:05:45 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting: Home Dogs Week 11
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A busy week for home dogs as there are only six this week. The key NFL football matchup will be in Buffalo as all eyes will be on the streaking Bills to see if they can end New England’s quest for a perfect season. Don’t hold your breath.
Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens (+3.5)
Derek Anderson and Jamal Lewis, two players who were jettisoned from the Baltimore organization, head back to Baltimore for the second meeting between the two teams this year. In the first meeting, Baltimore was bombed 27-13. The Ravens offense is in shambles right now but Kyle Boller starting means they will be able to throw the ball down the field. Cleveland is off a tough loss and better not get caught sleeping against the Ravens – they don’t lose frequently at home.
Free Pick: Baltimore +3.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (+3.5)
No team needed a bye week like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and with the Carolina Panthers and New Orleans Saints losing while the Bucs stayed idle, it was almost as good as a win. Look for the Bucs to be extremely fresh as they head to Atlanta off a bye week. Atlanta barely squeaked by Carolina last week and although they seem to be competitive weekly, I have more confidence in Tampa’s defense than I do in Atlanta’s offense.
Free Pick: Tampa Bay -3.5
New York Giants @ Detroit Lions (+3.5)
The Detroit Lions have yet to lose at home this season, making them an excellent home dog this week. They are typically a Jekyll/Hyde at home vs the road and this line is reflective of their poor performance on the road in Arizona last week. The Giants proved that their secondary isn’t capable of covering anyone, so look for Mike Martz to test them for a second consecutive week. Two teams with the same record – I’ll take the home team.
Free Pick: Detroit +3.5
Pittsburgh Steelers @ New York Jets (+10.5)
The New York Jets are in a tough spot this week as they get the Pittsburgh Steelers off a game where they weren’t focused in the first half. You can rest assured that that won’t happened for a second consecutive week. The Jets are quickly skidding downhill and even though they are off a bye week, there isn’t much to like about them. The prospects of Kellen Clemens against a focused Steelers defense isn’t attractive and the Steelers have shown they can score points on any defense.
Free Pick: Pittsburgh -10.5
St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers (+3.5)
If the Rams are healthy, they should be a tough team to beat. They proved to be healthy last week and stomped New Orleans on the road. The Rams should be much more confident this week as they head to San Francisco, who is short on self-esteem on a short week of preparation after getting shutout on Monday Night Football. Nothing is right in San Francisco – they can’t run the ball and getting to 200 yards of offense is a struggle. If they hang their defense out to dry once again, they’ll get blown out once again.
Free Pick: St. Louis -3.5
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills (+17)
Do you really want to bet against the New England Patriots, who will have two weeks to prepare for the Buffalo Bills? While the Bills are hot right now, they might be without Marshawn Lynch on Sunday, which should eliminate any shot they have at winning. Look for the Patriots to keep running up the score once they get ahead. The Bills are overmatched here.
Free Pick: New England -17
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