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Dec. 31 — Armed Forces Bowl Preview at Fort Worth, Texas, California (6-6) vs. Air Force (9-3), 12:30 p.m. (ESPN)
BetUS college football betting line: Oddsmakers currently have the Golden Bears listed as 4½-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game’s total is sitting at 57.
Monday, December 31st, 2007 – Big Al’s Free Pick Of The Day
At 12:30 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Cal Golden Bears minus the points over Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl. Air Force comes into this afternoon’s game off seven straight pointspread wins, and the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Falcons here. But I wouldn’t do that if I were you. Consider that, since 1980, bowl teams off six or more ATS wins in a row, are a dismal 1-8 ATS if matched up against a foe off a SU loss. And California is off not just one loss, but three SU losses. And since 1980, bowl teams off 3+ losses are 15-8 ATS, including a win last night on Alabama. Take Cal in a blowout. Good luck, as always, Al McMordie.
A few trends to consider:
Air Force is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Air Force is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Air Force’s last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California’s last 6 games
California is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
California is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
California is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
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