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Posted on 11/17/2007 8:50 AM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Wagering – Tampa Bay vs. Atlanta
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Our top sportsbook Preview – The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-4 SU & ATS) try to maintain their lead in the NFC South division on Sunday when they visit the Georgia Dome (artificial turf) to play the Atlanta Falcons (3-6 SU, 6-3 ATS) in a divisional matchup that starts at 1 PM ET. The BetUS NFL football betting odds list Tampa Bay at -3.5, with a total posted at 35.5 points.
Here are some NFL football betting trends as they relate to this matchup:
* TB has covered three of its last 10 road games
* TB has played eight of its last 11 games UNDER the total
* TB has won two of its last 13 road games SU
* TB has played four of its last five road games UNDER the total
* ATL has covered five of its last six games
* ATL has played five straight games UNDER the total
* ATL has played 18 of its last 25 games UNDER the total
* ATL has covered two of its last eight home games
* TB has won nine of the last 13 meetings SU
* ATL has covered five of the last seven meetings
* Four of the last six meetings have gone UNDER the total
* Seven of the last 10 meetings in ATL have gone OVER the total
Joey Harrington sure was shocked when he heard that whenever Byron Leftwich is healthy, he is going to be re-inserted as the #1 QB with the Falcons, especially as Harrington ( 63.6%, 5 TD, 5 INT) had led Atlanta to two straight wins. Leftwich’s status for this week was undetermined as of this writing, but what it certain is that coach Bobby Petrino has a real communication problem with his players.
Either way, things will move slow on offense for the home team – Atlanta had just 12 first downs last week and won on the basis of defense against crippled Carolina. But the Falcons have rediscovered a running game, with Warrick Dunn posting 189 yards over the last two weeks. That’s good, because Tampa Bay, which has the league’s sixth-ranked overall defense, has yielded just 173 passing yards a game, ranking them third in the NFL in that category. This is an unusual matchup in that we have two starting QB’s who have been there almost the whole year, yet they have just 14 TD passes between them (Jeff Garcia has 9 TD’s).
With Atlanta scoring just 15 ppg, Tampa Bay still looking for a solid solution at running back and the historical trends pointing heavily toward a low-scoring game, we will move in that direction as well, going under 35.5 points as posted in the BetUS NFL football betting odds.
NFL football betting odds: Tampa Bay -3.5, Total 35.5
NOTABLE STAT: Tampa Bay 18 ppg, Atlanta 15 ppg
KEY NFL FOOTBALL BETTING TREND: Atlanta has played five straight under the total
Free NFL Pick – JAY’S PLAY: UNDER 35.5 **(Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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