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Posted on 11/10/2007 9:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Picks – Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Cleveland Browns, (5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS, 7-0-1 O/U) are ranked fourth in overall offense, averaging 365.4 yards and 28.4 points per game but are ranked dead last, (32nd), allowing 411.8 yards and 29.1 points per game. The Browns beat the Seattle Seahawks 33-30 last week in an overtime thriller.
The Pittsburgh Steelers, (6-2 SU, 6-2 ATS, 4-4 O/U) are ranked eighth in overall offense averaging 352.4 yards and 27.8 points per game. Pittsburgh is ranked first in the league in overall defense, allowing 237.8 yards and 12.2 points per game. The Steelers enter this contest coming off a thorough, 38-7 spanking of the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free Football Betting Picks:
Key Browns Trends
The Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five games on grass.
The Browns are 8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Browns are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Key Steelers Trends
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week Ten.
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. AFC North.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0-1 in Browns last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Over is 7-0-1 in Browns last eight games following a S.U. win.
The Over is 5-0 in Steelers last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Over is 5-0-1 in Steelers last six games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings.
The Over is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings in Pittsburgh.
The Favorite is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
Analysis: While the Cleveland Browns are having a fine season offensively, they have quite a ways to go before they’re in the same class as the Steelers, who are firing on all cylinders on both sides of the ball right now. While I don’t like the high 9.5-point spread, after watching the Steelers’ dismantling of the Baltimore Ravens on Monday night, it looks like the Steelers are almost in the same class as the New England Patriots and Indianapolis Colts. Take the Steelers to win and cover.
NFL Free Picks: Steelers 35 Browns 17
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Cleveland Browns +9½ -110
Pittsburgh Steelers -9½ -110
Over 47½ -110
Under 47½ -110
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