Broncos vs. Colts NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 9/29/2007 9:17:42 PM
NFL Betting Odds – Denver Broncos (+10.5) at Indianapolis Colts (-10.5)
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Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The Denver Broncos (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS, 2-1 O/U) lost their first game of the season last week, falling to the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-13 despite owning the league’s sixth-ranked offense and third-ranked defense.
The Broncos haven’t scored more than 23 points in any game this season but have not allowed more than that same number of points in any game either. Interestingly, the Broncos No. 1-rated pass defense should get a thorough test against Peyton Manning and the Colts this week.
The Indianapolis Colts (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U) are 3-0 but are coming off a closer-than-expected win over the Houston Texans in which the Texans outscored Indy 14-3 in the final quarter. Indianapolis owns the league’s fourth-ranked offense, (4 pass 16 rush) and has been surprisingly strong on defense, earning the league’s fourth-ranked unit (10 pass, 14 rush).
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Broncos Trends
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
The Broncos are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Key Colts Trends
The Colts are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on Turf.
The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0 in Broncos last 6 games following a ATS loss.
The Over is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Under is 5-1 in Colts last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
The Under is 7-2 in Colts last 9 games in September.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Analysis: I like the Broncos to keep the score close throughout this game with an outside chance of stealing a win here. In the end, I can’t go against the Colts, but I like the Broncos to cover easily.
NFL Free Picks: Colts 24 Broncos 21
04:15 PM EST NFL Odds
Denver Broncos +10½ -110
Indianapolis Colts -10½ -110
Under 46 -110
Over 46 -110
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