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Posted on 11/10/2007 12:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NFL Football Handicapping Staff
NFL Betting Free Picks – Broncos at Chiefs
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The Denver Broncos, (3-5 SU, 1-7 ATS, 6-2 O/U) are ranked tenth in overall offense, averaging 348.1 yards and 15.8 points per game. Denver’s defense has left a lot to be desired as they are ranked just 26th in overall defense allowing 356.4 yards and 28.4 points per game. The Broncos were routed by the Detroit Lions 44-7 last week as they lost quarterback Jay Cutler early in the contest.
The Kansas City Chiefs, (4-4 SU, 4-3-1 ATS, 3-5 O/U) are ranked a dismal 30th in overall offense, averaging 286.2 yards and 16.2 points per game. Kansas City has fielded a solid defense this season that is ranked 13th in overall defense, allowing 321.1 yards and 18.2 points per game. The Chiefs were beaten by the Green Bay Packers 33-22 last week.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Broncos Trends
The Broncos are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
The Broncos are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a S.U. loss.
The Broncos are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Key Chiefs Trends
The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last eleven vs. AFC West.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 6-0 in Broncos last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Over is 5-0 in Broncos last five games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
The Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last eight games following a S.U. loss.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
The Over is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Kansas City.
The Over is 8-3 in the last eleven meetings.
Analysis: The Denver Broncos were literally pounded by the Detroit Lions last week and should be more than ready to cover the spread – and win outright against the Kansas City Chiefs despite the fact the K.C. has fielded a very solid defense this season. I say take the Broncos to cover the spread and win this game outright.
NFL Free Picks: Broncos +3 Points/Over 37.5 Points
01:00 PM EST NFL Odds
Denver Broncos +3 – 105
Kansas City Chiefs -3 -115
Over 37½ -110
Under 37½ -110
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