Braves vs Mets Preview + Free Pick
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9/12/2007 2:48:58 PM
MLB Betting Trends – Wednesday Diamond Winner
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”Hump Day” delivers a beautiful baseball schedule and we have a winner for the MLB betting enthusiasts.
Atlanta Braves (74-71) vs. New York Mets (82-62)
Tonight, the Atlanta Braves wrap up a three-game set with the NL East-leading New York Mets at Shea Stadium. It’s a big game for the Braves who trail the Mets by 8.5 games in the division. They are 5 games behind first in the NL Wild Card race.
With just 36 games remaining in the regular season for the Braves, Atlanta desperately need wins. They’ll attempt to get that very thing in the series finale by sending ace John Smoltz (13-7, 3.02 ERA) to the mound.
Smoltz is 17-14 with a 3.43 ERA in 67 career outings, including 39 starts. He is 2-1 with a 3.66 ERA in five starts against New York this season.
Head-to-Head Trends:
– Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
– Over is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
– Braves are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.
Smoltz is coming off one of the most dominant outings of his career. The right-hander took a no-hitter into the eighth inning in Friday’s 7-1 win over Washington in his last outing.
– Braves are 38-16 in Smoltz’s last 54 starts with 4 days of rest.
– Braves are 1-6 in Smoltz’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
– Braves are 61-29 in Smoltz’s last 90 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
New York will turn to John Maine (14-9, 3.80 ERA), who has allowed six runs in four of his last seven outings and is 1-1 with a 5.11 ERA against the Braves.
In his last outing, the right-hander was touched up for six runs in 4 1-3 innings in a 7-0 loss in Cincinnati a week ago.
– Mets are 0-4 in Maine’s last 4 starts during Game 3 of a series.
– Mets are 7-2 in Maine’s last 9 Wednesday starts.
– Mets are 29-14 in Maine’s last 43 starts on Grass.
– Mets are 29-14 in Maine’s last 43 starts overall.
MLB odds display New York (-108) slight favorites for Game 3 with a total of 8 over -120.
– Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
– Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
– Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Analysis: This is a huge game for the Braves and there’s no better pitcher on Atlanta’s pitching staff to send to the hill than veteran Smoltz in a virtual must win contest. If you look up ”gamer” in the dictionary, you’ll see this guy’s picture.
MLB Free Picks: Atlanta Braves -102
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