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Posted on 12/28/2007 10:25 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAA Football Bowl Betting – Emerald Bowl Action
Preview
The Oregon State Beavers will have a decisive advantage when they head in to the Emerald Bowl this weekend against the Maryland Terps. The boys from Baltimore will have to travel all the way across the country to play this game, while Oregon has to jog down the coast a little to get to San Francisco. The climate, and the traveling time, will play a big factor in this matchup as the Terps try to undo the failings of going 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Maryland Offense vs. Oregon State Defense
The Terps know that the key to their success (if you can call it that) is their rushing attack. With Keon Lattimore and Lance Ball splitting carries, the Terps have averaged 147.3 rushing yards per game. However, the tattered offensive line has been torn apart by injuries and that has killed the rushing game. The Oregon State front-seven relentlessly attacks the ball carrier and holds opponents to 74.9 rushing yards per game in the process.
Quarterback Chris Turner has been unsenational this season, throwing a measly 5 touchdowns and 5 picks. He lacks the ability to make quick decisions, which could prove disastrous to his health and the Terps betting faithful this weekend. The Beavers have totaled 43 sacks this season, and will be unremitting in unleashing a variety of blitz packages to confuse and destroy Turner in the pocket.
Oregon State Offense vs. Maryland Defense
Maryland gives up 136.7 rushing yards per game and 219.3 passing yards per game, while keeping opponents to an average of 21.6 points per game. They will face a strong rushing attack fro Oregon State, which averages 166.6 rushing yards on the ground and is balanced by an efficient, short passing attack.
The quarterback situation for the Beavers is up in the air. Regular starter Lyle Moevao has been uninspiring, but steady, in the place of Sean Canfield, who returns from a shoulder injury. Either way they go, running-back Yvenson Bernard will shoulder the offensive load and have his way with a Beavers front-five that is far too experienced for the Maryland defensive front to handle.
NCAA Football Betting Trends
-Maryland is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
-Maryland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
-Oregon State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
-total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon State’s last 6 games
Final Verdict
Maryland has continued its history of bumbling in to the tail end of the season. Their embarrassing play has done little to invigorate the NCAAF betting community with any enthusiasm. The Beavers, however, ended the season with a strong three-game streak. The Beavers betting backers won’t need to knock on wood this weekend. Instead they will pound the rock with Bernard as the Beavers trounce Maryland.
Maryland Terrapins (6-6) vs. Oregon State Beavers (8-4)
Friday, December 28th — AT&T Park, San Francisco — 8:30pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Line: Oregon State. -3.5 (49)
NCAA Football Free Pick: Maryland 21 Oregon State 34
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