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NCAA Football News NCAAF Previews NCAA Football Sportsbooks
Posted on 12/28/2007 10:25 AM
By: CappersPicks.com College Football Handicapping Staff
NCAAF Bowl Betting – Eagles vs. Spartans
Preview
The Boston College Eagles soared to the top of the mountain by ranking tops in the nation at one point, then came crashing down to planet Earth. Now they face the Michigan State Spartans, who have been held out of bowl consideration since 2003, in the Florida Citrus Bowl. The Eagles still have plenty to play for, especially with quarterback Matt Ryan trying to impress the NFL brass as he heads in to the 2008 NFL Draft.
Boston College Offense vs. Michigan State Defense
When the Eagles transitioned to a pass-heavy focus in their offense this season, Matt Ryan shined as one of the most talented and gifted passers in the game. His rocket-arm propelled the Eagles to a passing average of 331.8 yards per game while opening up the scoring to average 29.7 points per game. However, aside from his first game against Virginia Tech this season, Ryan has buckled under pressure, and he has never had more at stake than this game. It will be the last real-game situation in which he can make a positive impression on the NFL scouts who will be keeping an eagle eye on him.
The Spartans betting faithful are very well acquainted with defensive-end Ryan Purvis who will be drawing some wicked coverage from the Boston College offensive line. Purvis is a dynamite pass rusher, who bursts off the line with unbelievable force. It will be up to Purvis to disrupt Ryan’s timing and help a stout Spartan secondary which allows 217.3 passing yards per game.
Michigan State Offense vs. Boston College Defense
As good as Javon Ringer and Jehuu Caulcrick are as tailbacks in the Michigan State offense, the Spartans betting investor should pay attention to a glaring stat for Boston College first. They allow a paltry 65.6 rushing yards per game and play with vicious pride and hunger for the ball-carrier.
Quarterback Brian Hoyer threw for 2,594 yards, 18 touchdowns and 7 interceptions as they Spartans averaged only 225.9 passing yards per game. The Eagles will get an injection of speed and agility back in to the secondary with corner-back DeJaun Tribble who will help shut down the unimpressive passing attack of the Spartans.
NCAA Football Betting Trends
-Michigan State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
-total has gone OVER in 9 of Michigan State’s last 9 games
-Boston College is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
-Boston College is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Final Verdict
While Boston College stumbled towards the end of the season, Matt Ryan has had plenty of time since the ACC Championship loss to Virginia Tech on December 1st. The Eagles betting investors should rest assured that Ryan has gotten his head out of the mud, cleared his vision, and dissected this secondary during tape sessions. The defense will take a load of pressure off of Ryan to produce, but with his NFL draft status on the line, bet on Ryan to come through after having three weeks of rest to prep for this matchup.
Michigan State Spartans (7-5) vs. #14 Boston College Eagles (10-3)
Friday, December 28th — Florida Citrus Bowl, Orlando — 5:00pm EST
Opening NCAA Football Line: Boston College -2.5 (58)
NCAA Football Free Pick: Michigan State 24 Boston College 28
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