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NBA News NBA Previews NBA Sportsbooks Posted on 12/07/2007 5:50 PM
By: CappersPicks.com NBA Basketball Handicapping Staff
NBA Betting Trends – Utah Jazz at San Antonio Spurs
Our Sportsbooks: The San Antonio Spurs may be without the foundation of their franchise in superstar power forward Tim Duncan, but lest anyone forget, the team still has two all-star players in Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili and numerous intelligent veterans in players like Bruce Bowen, Michael Finley and Fabricio Oberto.
The Spurs, (16-3 SU, 10-9 ATS, 13-6 O/U), enter this contest having won four straight games, including Wednesday’s home matchup against the Dallas Mavericks in which Ginobili scored a season-high 37 points and handed out six assists to lead the Spurs to a 97-95 win without Duncan who is going to be a game-time decision for tonight’s contest.
The Utah Jazz fell to the Spurs in five games in last season’s western conference finals, but have come back this year with renewed vigor this season.
Utah, (13-6 SU, 10-9 ATS, 13-6 O/U), is ranked fourth in scoring, averaging 107.1 points per game while leading the league in field goal percentage at 49.4 percent.
All-star power forward Carlos Boozer leads the Jazz in scoring and rebounding, averaging 24.9 points and 11.4 boards per game but it is blossoming third-year point guard Deron Williams who makes the Jazz go with his 19.8 points and 8.9 assists per game. The Jazz are coming into this game off a dismal 117-107 loss to the Sacramento Kings Tuesday night.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends, followed by my analysis and Free NBA Betting Picks.
Key Jazz Trends
The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Western Conference.
The Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last ten Friday games.
The Jazz are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 road games.
Key Spurs Trends
The Spurs are 7-0 ATS in their last seven when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.
The Spurs are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight Friday games.
Key Totals Trends
The Over is 5-0 in Jazz last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Over is 5-0 in Jazz last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
The Over is 6-1 in Spurs last seven vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The Over is 4-1 in Spurs last five vs. NBA Northwest.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in San Antonio.
The Favorite is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.
The Home team is 9-1 ATS in the last ten meetings.
Analysis: The Spurs are undefeated at home this season, but I’m going with the Utah Jazz to hand them their first home loss of the season tonight while bouncing back from their nearly defenseless loss to the Kings on Tuesday. If the Jazz can’t beat a Spurs team that may not have Duncan at all or one who is less than 100 percent, it certainly doesn’t bode well for their chances of beating the Spurs in the postseason. Take the Jazz to surprise the Spurs tonight in this ‘Pick ‘em.’
NBA Free Picks: Utah Jazz/ Over 199 Total Points
09:35 PM EST
Utah Jazz PK -110
San Antonio Spurs PK -110
Over 199 -110
Under 199 -110
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