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Home Boxing News Posted on 01/28/2007 3:49 PM
By: CappersPicks.com College Basketball Handicapping Staff
Boxing Betting – Will Darchinyan Score a Z-Ro?
Our Sportsbooks: Two of the world’s best in the 115-pound class (super flyweight or junior bantamweight, whichever you prefer) will tangle in the Philippines on Saturday, when Vic Darchinyan, tackles Z Gorres in his back yard. The winner will get a shot at the IBF championship which is held by Dimitri Kirilov.
BetUS boxing betting odds
Super Flyweights
February 2 — Cebu City, Philippines
Z GORRES -120
VIC DARCHINYAN -110
OVER 10.5 ROUNDS -135
UNDER 10.5 ROUNDS -105
For betting purposes, let’s size up the contestants:
GORRES (27-2-1, 15 KO’s), the -120 favorite (laying 6/5) in the Top Sportsbooks boxing odds, is a 5’4″ southpaw who won the Philippine flyweight title in his 13th pro fight, and for all intents and purposes moved to the 115-pound class shortly after being stopped by Edgar Rodrigo in June of 2003. He made something of a splash in March of ’05 when he stopped Glenn Donaire, a fellow Filipino, in one round in Las Vegas. He got his opportunity to fight for the WBO title at 115 in February of last year and lost a split decision to the very formidable Fernando Montiel. In his last fight – last August – he stopped Eric Ortiz in eight rounds.
His opponent, DARCHINYAN (29-1, 23 KO’s), the -110 underdog (laying 11/10) at BetUS, is an Armenian now living in Australia. He represented Armenia in the 200 Olympics, and reportedly lost 18 of his 176 amateur bouts. In December of 2004 he became the first Armenian to win a world title when he stopped previously undefeated Irene Pacheco in eleven rounds to capture the IBF flyweight crown. After six successful defenses, including one over the aforementioned Glenn Donaire, he was developing a reputation as someone who could be considered for top ten status in the mythical “pound-for-pound” category. And in a novel publicity stunt, he had taken to “challenging” middleweights, light heavyweights and heavyweights to fights.
Such hubris came to a screeching halt last July, when Nonito Donaire (Glenn’s brother) stopped him in five rounds in what was a big upset. Like most champions who lose, Darchinyan chalked it up partly to the weight division he was in, and so he moved up to the 115-pound class and annexed the IBO title in October with a 12th-round stoppage of Federico Catubay. Like his opponent Gorres, Darchinyan is a southpaw.
Darchinyan is always dangerous because of his power. And he fully expects that he will have to knock Gorres out to win. “Because it is in the Philippines, I’m not going to let this go to the distance, points is very dangerous,” Darchinyan told a reporter. Gorres is prepared to parry Darchinyan’s blows. “Gorres won’t go for a knockout,” said Tony Aldeguer, one of his handlers. “He’ll outbox and outfight Darchinyan. If there’s an opportunity to score a knockout, then he’ll take it from there.”
Off the Donaire loss, Darchinyan has a few things to worry about. One is that there is danger to wading in to land the big shot, with a certain disregard for defense. This is essentially Darchinyan’s style, and against Donaire he paid for it, being nailed again and again by left hands and finally by a shot left hook that put him down and eventually out, to the point where they had to call for the stretcher.
Inasmuch as he has already expressed that he intends to go for broke, and considering that he has assessed things rather correctly about the home bias Gorres enjoys, he may feel no choice but to employ such a strategy. But Gorres is a good enough counter-puncher to take advantage. Darchinyan provided a pretty good blueprint from that loss, and it isn’t often that raw puncher types are able to become polished enough to box on even terms with fighters who are naturally finesse-oriented.
The feeling here is that if Gorres can measure his opponent, and can avoid getting involved in a brawl (as his handler asserts he will), he will maintain a clear advantage throughout the fight. Filipino fans, who are rabid, will influence the judges, and Gorres will win the decision.
So we’re taking the Z-man, the -120 favorite in the Top Sportsbooks boxing betting odds.
Free Boxing Picks: JAY’S PLAY: GORRES (-120) ** (Graded on a scale of 1-4 stars)
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