Chiefs vs. Raiders NFL Preview – Free Pick
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Posted on 10/20/2007 1:07:14 PM
NFL Betting Odds – Kansas City Chiefs (+3) at Oakland Raiders (-3)
Bet On This Game At our top Sportsbook – The Chiefs, (3-3 SU, 3-2-1 ATS, 2-4 O/U) are ranked 26th in overall offense, averaging 294.3 yards and 15.0 points per game. Kansas City is ranked 10th in overall defense allowing 311.5 yards and 17.2 points per game. Kansas City enters this matchup coming off a solid 27-20 win over the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Raiders, (2-3 SU, 2-3 ATS, 4-1 O/U) are ranked 20th in overall offense, averaging 327.8 yards and 23.2 points per game. Oakland is ranked 26th in overall defense, allowing 357.0 yards and 25.6 points per game. Oakland enters this contest coming off a 28-14 loss to the San Diego Chargers.
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my Free NFL Betting Picks:
Key Chiefs Trends
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four games in Week Seven.
The Chiefs are 8-2 ATS in their last ten vs. AFC West.
Key Raiders Trends
The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. AFC West.
The Raiders are 22-47-1 ATS in their last 70 games overall.
The Raiders are 18-40-1 ATS in their last 59 games following a S.U. loss.
Key Totals Trends
The Under is 7-1 in Chiefs last eight games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The Under is 5-1 in Chiefs last six games as a road underdog.
The Under is 4-0 in Raiders last four games in October.
The Under is 24-2-2 in Raiders last 28 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Key Head-to-Head Trends
The Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings in Oakland.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Oakland.
Analysis: These long-time division arch enemies are fairly evenly matched this season, telling me this will likely be a very close affair. Though the Chiefs have been a top-10 defense all season long, I like the Raiders to win this contest and cover the spread just barely.
NFL Free Picks: Raiders 21 Chiefs 17
04:05 PM EST Football Odds
Kansas City Chiefs +3 -125
Oakland Raiders -3 +105
Over 37½ -110
Under 37½ -110
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