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Angels vs. Red Sox Preview + Free Pick April 23rd, 2008
By: Cappers Picks Staff
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MLB Baseball Betting Action – Red Hot Red Sox
While the Los Angeles Angels, (12-9, 10-8-3 O/U) have dropped two consecutive games in the online sports betting sportsbook coming into this contest, the Boston Red Sox, (15-7, 12-9-1 O/U) are as hot as they’ve been all season and come into tonight’s contest riding a convincing six-game winning streak in the Our best Sportsbooks and have won 10 of their last 11 overall, including a close 7-6 win over the Angels in their series opener on Tuesday.
Tonight, Boston will send Japanese phenom Daisuke “Dice-K” Matsuzaka, (4-0, 3.14 ERA) to the mound looking to tie for the league lead in wins.
While Matsuzaka has only allowed 18 hits in 28 2/3 innings this year, the gifted right-hander has yet to last past the sixth inning in any of his starts this season.
“I realize that I have to go deeper into games,” Matsuzaka told his team’s official Web site. “The very fact that we have to even talk about pitch counts, I think that’s a problem right there.”
The Angels, who are a pitiful 6-17 in their last 23games at Fenway Park, will send veteran Jon Garland to the mound looking to help the team avoid its first three-game losing streak of the season.
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“To be honest, I am tired of … our luck here,” Angel’s reliever Scot Shields said. “I’m tired of it. They beat us. Now let’s move on to the next day.”
Here is a look at tonight’s key trends followed by my MLB Betting Picks.
The Angels are 4-1 in their last five after scoring five runs or more in their previous game.
The Angels are 6-2 in their last eight games following a loss.
The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last four after allowing five runs or more in their previous game.
The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last five games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
The Over is 5-0-1 in Angels last six road games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Over is 5-0 in Angels last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
The Over is 4-0 in Matsuzaka’s last four starts with four days of rest.
The Over is 5-0-1 in Matsuzaka’s last six home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 7-2-1 in the last ten meetings.
The Over is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings in Boston.
The Pitchers: Angels starting pitcher Jon Garland is 2-2 in four starts covering 24.1 innings with three strikeouts, seven walks and an ERA of 4.81.
Red Sox starting pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka is 4-0 in five starts covering 28.2 innings with 28 strikeouts, 17 walks and a 3.14 ERA.
Analysis: While Jon Garland is a very respectable starting pitcher, he certainly isn’t in the same class as Matsuzaka. With the Red Sox hitting the ball well and with Dice-K on the mound, the Sox will win this contest emphatically.
MLB Free Picks: Red Sox 6 Angels 3
07:05 PM EST MLB Odds
Los Angeles Angels
Jon Garland – R +1½ -115
Boston Red Sox
Daisuke Matsuzaka – R -1½ -105
Over 10 -110
Under 10 -110
American League
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