Free Pick: Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Odds
Looking for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Free NHL predictions? NHL betting sees the Maple Leafs taking on the Penguins on 11/29 at PPG Paints Arena, in Pittsburgh. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NHL hockey matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NHL predictions like this Maple Leafs Penguins free pick.
2025 NHL Handicapping – Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins
(10-11) Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (12-6)
Date: Nov 29, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA
NHL Moneyline Odds: Maple Leafs -119 | Penguins +100 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NHL Puck Line Betting Odds: Maple Leafs -1.5 | Penguins +1.5
NHL Hockey Gambling Total: O/U: 6
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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins Gameday
The Toronto Maple Leafs head to PPG Paints Arena for a matchup with the Pittsburgh Penguins. Toronto enters at 10-11-3, while Pittsburgh holds a stronger 12-6-5 record. NHLN will broadcast the game at 7:00 PM.
Toronto, coached by Craig Berube, sits 15th in the Eastern Atlantic Division with a 2-6 mark inside the division. Their most recent outing resulted in a 4-2 loss to the Washington Capitals. The team continues to search for consistency as the season progresses.
Pittsburgh, led by Dan Muse, is positioned 5th in the Eastern Metropolitan Division.
They carry a 4-4 divisional record and recently secured a 4-3 win over the Columbus Blue Jackets. Their balanced play has helped them remain competitive in the conference.
Head-to-head results from last season slightly favored Toronto. They won two of three meetings, though Pittsburgh covered the puck line in all three.
Those trends suggest another closely contested matchup tonight.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Odds & Last 5
The Maple Leafs enter the game as narrow favorites at -119 on the moneyline. Pittsburgh sits at +100 as the home underdog. The puck line prices Toronto -1.5 at +208, while the Penguins come in at +1.5 with -260 odds.
Toronto’s recent stretch includes mixed results. They picked up a win over the Columbus Blue Jackets but fell short against the Capitals and Canadiens. Their inconsistent form remains a theme entering tonight’s contest.
Pittsburgh comes in off a tight win over Columbus. They have been in slightly better rhythm across their last five games, and their ability to grind out close finishes has been a strength.
The puck-line history between these two teams adds further intrigue to this matchup.
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Penguins Stats
The Penguins continue to demonstrate strong offensive production. Their 72 goals rank 13th in the NHL, and their power play has delivered 16 goals, placing them 7th. They have shown the ability to generate steady pressure across all four lines.
Sidney Crosby remains the team’s driving force. Through 23 games, he has recorded 15 goals and 10 assists for 25 points. His consistency and presence continue to elevate Pittsburgh’s top-six forward group.
Defensively, the Penguins have accumulated 362 blocks, ranking 17th. Tristan Jarry has delivered reliable goaltending with 239 saves across nine games and has helped secure seven wins. His workload has been efficient and controlled.
Recent results include three wins in their last five games. Their latest 4-3 victory over Columbus featured two goals from Crosby, reinforcing his impact on both ends of the ice.
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Maple Leafs Stats
The Maple Leafs continue to show mixed form with wins over Columbus but losses to Washington and Montreal. Their ability to close out tight games remains an area of focus. They have shown flashes of strong play but have struggled to maintain momentum.
William Nylander leads the offense with 31 points through 20 games. His mix of 11 goals and 20 assists keeps him central to Toronto’s scoring efforts. John Tavares follows closely with 28 points across 24 appearances.
On defense, Morgan Rielly and Oliver Ekman-Larsson have combined for 36 points. Rielly has recorded 28 blocks, while Ekman-Larsson has added 26. Their blue-line production has played a major part in keeping Toronto competitive.
Joseph Woll has been active in net with 170 saves across six games. Although he has taken three losses, he continues to make key stops and stabilize the position when needed.
Toronto will rely on stronger defensive support to improve results moving forward.
Maple Leafs vs. Penguins bottom line: Toronto holds a slight edge in last year’s results, but Pittsburgh’s current form and home-ice steadiness make this matchup feel tight from start to finish.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Hockey Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Penguins have a record of 3-2 straight up.
- Also, Pittsburgh has consistently scored at least 2 goals in each of their recent games.
- The Maple Leafs have gone 2-3 straight up in their last five games.
- Toronto has allowed 3 or more goals in three of their last five games.
- Additionally, the Penguins have seen the total go over in 3 of their last 5 games.
- The Maple Leafs have hit the under in 2 of their last 5 games.
Maple Leafs Penguins Free Pick: Over 6
Here is my Maple Leafs Penguins free pick: Pittsburgh has been steady offensively, scoring at least two goals in each of their recent outings and keeping themselves in every game.
Their pace matches perfectly with a Toronto team that keeps finding itself in track meets far more often than it would like.
Still, the Maple Leafs have allowed three or more goals in three of their last five, and their defensive lapses continue to show up at the wrong time. Also, the total has gone over in 14 of Toronto’s last 19 games, highlighting just how often their matchups open up.
Additionally, the over has cashed in six of the Leafs’ last eight trips to Pittsburgh, which fits the way this matchup tends to unfold.
With Pittsburgh seeing three overs in their last five and Toronto hitting the under only twice during that same stretch, the scoring environment is hard to ignore.
Ultimately, both teams bring enough offensive juice and just enough defensive looseness to keep this game trending upward. Play the over 6.
Today’s NHL Free Pick
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NHL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Back at it at @PPGPaintsArena!
Game preview: https://t.co/3EQlc31Tgn pic.twitter.com/aJgafZ3fJp
— Pittsburgh Penguins (@penguins) November 29, 2025
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