Free Pick: Penguins vs. Senators Odds
Looking for Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators free NHL predictions? NHL betting sees the Penguins taking on the Senators on 3/26 at Canadian Tire Centre, in Ottawa. This free NHL pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Penguins Senators matchup.
2026 NHL Handicapping – Pittsburgh Penguins vs Ottawa Senators
(35-20) Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators (38-24)
Date: Mar 26, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON
NHL Moneyline Odds: Penguins +130 | Senators -154 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NHL Puck Line Betting Odds: Penguins +1.5 | Senators -1.5
NHL Hockey Gambling Total: O/U: 6
Here’s why I’m backing a Ottawa ML bet below in my Penguins Senators free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Penguins vs. Senators Gameday
The Pittsburgh Penguins head to Canadian Tire Centre to take on the Ottawa Senators tonight. With the regular season getting close to the finish line, both teams are chasing important points. ESPN+ will have coverage at 7:00 PM.
Pittsburgh, coached by Dan Muse, comes in with a 35-20-16 record. They have dropped recent games to Colorado and Carolina, but the scoring ability is still there. The Penguins sit 3rd in the Eastern Metropolitan division.
Ottawa, led by Travis Green, holds a 38-24-9 record and has been trending upward. Wins over Detroit and the Rangers have pushed them into better position late in the season.
They currently sit 5th in the Eastern Atlantic division.
Late-season games like this often swing on pace, and Ottawa has controlled it lately.
Ottawa has taken both meetings this season and did so by a noticeable margin. That edge adds pressure on Pittsburgh heading into this spot. Head-to-head trends can matter late in the year.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators Odds & Last 5
Pittsburgh enters after two tough losses to the Avalanche and Hurricanes, both by four-goal margins. Even with those results, their 35-20-16 record shows they remain a competitive group.
The puck line sits at +1.5 with odds of -201, pointing toward a tighter game expectation.
Ottawa comes in off wins against Detroit and the Rangers, continuing a strong stretch of play. Their 38-24-9 record reflects that consistency throughout the season. The Senators are listed at -154 on the moneyline, showing confidence in their current form.
In the season series, Ottawa has won both matchups by an average margin of 2.5 goals. The total is set at 6.0, with the under slightly favored at -103.
Lower totals tend to follow when previous meetings stay under.
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Senators Stats
Ottawa has won four of its last five games and continues to build momentum. Their win over Detroit showed their ability to deliver in key moments.
Carter Yakemchuk and Brady Tkachuk both recorded a goal and an assist in that game.
Offensively, the Senators have been consistent all season. They rank 8th in the league with 236 goals and continue to pressure opposing defenses. Their power play has also produced, with 53 goals placing them 4th.
On the physical side, Ottawa ranks 3rd in hits with 1694, showing a strong presence across the ice. Blocking shots has been less effective, as they sit 25th with 959 blocks. Faceoffs have been a strength, ranking 4th with 2158 wins.
In goal, Linus Ullmark has posted 23 wins across 41 appearances. While the team has yet to record a shutout, his 881 saves have kept games within reach. James Reimer has also provided support in recent outings.
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Penguins Stats
Pittsburgh’s offense has been one of its strengths this season. They have scored 241 goals, ranking 5th in the league, and added 412 assists, placing them 8th. Their 2061 shots on goal also rank 8th.
Defensively, the Penguins have allowed 206 goals, which puts them 13th overall. Their goaltending group has combined for 1731 saves across the season. Shot volume against them has stayed manageable.
Recent results have been uneven, with losses to Colorado and Carolina by four goals each. They did manage a 5-4 win over the Jets in between those games. High-event games tend to show both strengths and flaws.
Sidney Crosby leads with 28 goals and 36 assists, while Erik Karlsson has added 11 goals and 43 assists. Stuart Skinner has appeared in 43 games, recording 20 wins and 970 saves. Key players like these will drive the outcome.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators bottom line: Ottawa’s recent form and head-to-head edge meet a Pittsburgh team that still brings scoring depth.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Ottawa Senators Hockey Betting Trends
- Ottawa has won four of their last five games this season.
- Also, the Senators have scored at least three goals in four of their last five games.
- In their last five games, Ottawa has allowed two or fewer goals in three outings.
- Pittsburgh has lost three of their last five games this season.
- Additionally, the Penguins have allowed at least five goals in three of their last five games.
- Pittsburgh has scored five or more goals in two of their last five games.
Penguins Senators Free Pick: Senators ML -154
Here is my Penguins Senators free pick: I’m backing Ottawa on the moneyline because they come into this one playing sharper hockey at both ends.
The Senators have won four of their last five games, and they’ve scored at least three goals in four of those wins.
That kind of scoring touch matters when the other side is having trouble settling things down.
Pittsburgh has dropped three of their last five, and the ugly part is the defensive side. They’ve allowed five or more goals in three of those games, which is a problem against a team carrying real confidence.
When one team is creating chances with rhythm and the other is scrambling in its own zone, the safer side usually is not hard to find.
In fact, Ottawa getting this game at home gives them another small edge. They’ve been playing with more pressure, more jump, and honestly a little more belief lately.
Plus, if this turns into a game with steady pace and repeated scoring chances, the Senators look better equipped to handle it.
Pittsburgh can still score, sure, but they have not been closing leaks nearly well enough.
Ottawa moneyline -154 is the play here. The form and defensive gap point the same way.
Today’s NHL Free Pick
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NHL Betting Tweet Of The Day
First game ✅
First assist ✅
First goal ✅
First win ✅
What a debut 😤 pic.twitter.com/2hxG7uVsH2— Ottawa Senators (@Senators) March 25, 2026
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