Free Pick: Flames vs. Lightning Odds
Looking for Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Free NHL predictions? NHL betting sees the Flames taking on the Lightning on 11/26 at Benchmark International Arena, in Tampa Bay. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NHL hockey matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NHL predictions like this Flames Lightning free pick.
2025 NHL Handicapping – Calgary Flames vs Tampa Bay Lightning
(8-13) Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (13-7)
Date: Nov 26, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa Bay, FL
NHL Moneyline Odds: Flames +157 | Lightning -187 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NHL Puck Line Betting Odds: Flames +1.5 | Lightning -1.5
NHL Hockey Gambling Total: O/U: 5.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Tampa Bay ML bet below in my Flames Lightning free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Flames vs. Lightning Gameday
Tonight the Calgary Flames head to Benchmark International Arena for a matchup with the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Flames enter at 8-13-3 under Ryan Huska, while Jon Cooper’s Lightning come in at 13-7-2 and leading the Eastern Atlantic division.
Calgary arrives with momentum after recent wins against the Canucks, Stars, and Sabres, giving them a needed spark. Rasmus Andersson has chipped in steady playmaking, helping drive their offense during this stretch.
Tampa Bay has been sharp as well, picking up victories over the Flyers and Capitals behind strong goaltending.
Andrei Vasilevskiy delivered a shutout against Philadelphia, and Nikita Kucherov continued to impact games with multiple assists.
Previously, these teams did not meet earlier this season, but Tampa Bay took both matchups in 2025. Calgary now looks to flip that script as they face a Lightning squad that has been tough to beat at home, with the game airing on ESPN+ for fans watching in.
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Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds & Last 5
The Lightning enter this one as the favorite at -187 on the MoneyLine, while the Flames sit at +157 as the underdog. The puck line leans toward Tampa Bay at -1.5 (+136), with Calgary listed at +1.5 (-165).
Calgary’s recent form has improved thanks to wins over Vancouver, Dallas, and Buffalo that helped stabilize their start. Tampa Bay has remained consistent as well, earning victories over Philadelphia and Washington with Vasilevskiy’s shutout standing out.
Looking back at their 2025 meetings, Tampa Bay claimed both games, giving them confidence heading into this matchup. Still, Calgary’s recent surge suggests they may enter this one with more belief than expected.
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Lightning Stats
Tampa Bay has put together a strong stretch, winning four of their last five and showcasing that with a 3-0 victory over the Flyers. Vasilevskiy turned away 20 shots in that shutout effort, anchoring a defense that has tightened up recently.
Offensively, Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 25 points in 20 games, posting 10 goals and 15 assists. Brandon Hagel and Jake Guentzel have also played major roles, each passing the 20-point mark to keep the attack balanced.
Overall, Tampa Bay sits 9th in the league with 69 goals and has shown strength on the power play, scoring 11 times to rank 10th. Their 442 hits rank 17th, giving them enough physicality to control pace when needed.
Additionally, Vasilevskiy has recorded 380 saves while allowing 37 goals across 16 games, providing the backbone of their defensive play. Jonas Johansson has supported him effectively with four wins in seven appearances.
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Flames Stats
Calgary has sparked new energy with three straight wins, scoring 14 goals while allowing just six during that run. Those performances against the Canucks, Stars, and Sabres helped build needed confidence.
Rasmus Andersson continues to drive their offense with 5 goals and 11 assists, giving them stability on the blue line. Matt Coronato leads the team with 8 goals, while Nazem Kadri’s 14 assists highlight his value as a setup option.
Defensively, the Flames have shown bite with 529 hits to rank 6th league-wide, while their 340 blocks place them 14th. Those numbers reflect a team willing to commit to the physical side of the game.
In goal, Dustin Wolf has made 460 saves in 19 games, keeping the Flames competitive despite no shutouts. Meanwhile, Devin Cooley has added 157 saves in his seven appearances, giving Calgary a dependable second option.
Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning bottom line: Tampa Bay’s home strength and elite top-end talent give them the edge, while Calgary’s recent momentum keeps them competitive enough to challenge early.
Calgary Flames vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Hockey Betting Trends
- The Lightning have won four of their last five games this season.
- The Flames have won three of their last five games this season.
- In their last game, the Lightning held their opponent scoreless, winning 3-0 against the Flyers.
- Also, the Flames scored five goals in their recent win against the Canucks.
- Additionally, the Lightning have scored at least two goals in each of their last five games.
- The Flames have scored at least three goals in four of their last five games.
Flames Lightning Free Pick: Lightning ML -187 (Parlay with OVER)
Here is my Flames Lightning free pick: The Tampa Bay Lightning come in hot, winning four of their last five and capping it with a shutout against the Flyers.
Their recent surge gives them a clear edge over a Calgary team still searching for consistency.
Still, the Flames have managed at least three goals in four of their last five, yet their 8-13-3 record tells the real story of their inconsistency. Therefore, Tampa’s home form and momentum make the moneyline at -187 the safer side.
Overall, with Calgary still capable of contributing offensively, the over has enough support to pair into a small parlay tonight too. Win em both! Good luck.
Today’s NHL Free Pick
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NHL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Just a little skate around 🏒 pic.twitter.com/ZRzGDDFjuC
— Tampa Bay Lightning (@TBLightning) November 26, 2025
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