Free NCAAB Pick: Cavaliers vs. Fighting Irish Odds
Looking for Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Cavaliers taking on the Fighting Irish on 1/27 at Purcell Pavilion, in South Bend, IN. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Cavaliers Fighting Irish matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Virginia Cavaliers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
(16-3) Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-9)
Date: Jan 27, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, IN
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Cavaliers -538 | Fighting Irish +375 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Cavaliers -9.5 | Fighting Irish +9.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 141.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Virginia ATS bet below in my Cavaliers Fighting Irish free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cavaliers vs. Fighting Irish Gameday
First, the Virginia Cavaliers are heading into this game ranked 17th in the nation. They have a strong record of 16-3, with an impressive 4-1 record on the road. Their recent game saw them fall to the North Carolina Tar Heels, losing by five points.
On the other side, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a record of 11-9 this season. They perform better at home with a 9-4 record. Their latest outing resulted in a victory against Boston College by four points.
Looking at recent performances, Virginia’s Thijs De Ridder stood out with 20 points and eight rebounds against North Carolina. Meanwhile, Malik Thomas contributed significantly in their win against SMU with 23 points and 11 rebounds. The Cavaliers will rely on these players to bounce back from their last loss.
For Notre Dame, Braeden Shrewsberry was a key player in their win over Boston College, scoring 22 points. Jalen Haralson also played a vital role, adding 17 points. The Fighting Irish aim to leverage their home-court advantage to challenge Virginia.
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It’s Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Odds & Last 5
Meanwhile, the odds for this game show Virginia as the favorite with a spread of -9.5. On the moneyline, they sit at -538, while Notre Dame is at +375. The over/under is set at 141.5, making it an interesting choice for those looking at total points.
In recent games, Virginia has had mixed results. They lost to North Carolina by five points but managed to win against SMU and Louisville. Their performance on the road is solid with a 4-1 record, which could be a factor in today’s game.
On the other hand, Notre Dame has a better record at home, which could play a role in their strategy. Their win against Boston College was a close one, but they suffered losses to North Carolina and Virginia Tech in previous outings. This mix of results adds an element of unpredictability to their performance today.
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Fighting Irish Stats
To begin, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish have been navigating a challenging season. They average 72.9 points per game, which places them at 309th in the rankings. Their field goal percentage stands at 44.7, and they make 8.4 three-pointers per game, which ranks them 168th.
Next, on the defensive end, they struggle with just 4.3 steals per game, ranking 277th. They also average 2.0 blocks per game, which places them at 336th. Turnovers are a concern, with the team committing 11.1 per game.
Recently, the team showed a spark with a win against Boston College, winning by four points. Braeden Shrewsberry led the charge with 22 points, while Jalen Haralson added 17 points. However, they faced setbacks in losses to North Carolina and Virginia Tech.
Finally, the team is dealing with injuries that impact their performance. Markus Burton, a key guard, is out due to ankle surgery. Additionally, forward Kebba Njie and center Tommy Ahneman are both sidelined with knee injuries, affecting the team’s depth.
Cavaliers Stats
To begin, the Virginia Cavaliers have shown a strong offensive presence this season. They average 83.8 points per game, placing them at 58th in the nation. Despite their slower pace with 66.4 possessions per game, they make the most of their opportunities with a solid field goal percentage of 47.3.
In their recent performances, Virginia has experienced mixed results. They secured a win against SMU with a score of 72-68, but fell short against North Carolina, losing 85-80. Malik Thomas stood out in these games, scoring 23 points against SMU and 19 against Louisville, showing his capability to lead the team offensively.
Looking at individual contributions, Malik Thomas is a key player for Virginia. He has scored 256 points over 19 games, ranking him first on the team. Dallin Hall also plays a vital role with 83 assists, leading the team in that category.
Lastly, Virginia’s rebounding strength is noteworthy, as they average 42.1 rebounds per game, ranking 17th nationally. Johann Grünloh contributes significantly to this with 127 rebounds. However, they need to improve defensively, especially in steals and blocks, where they rank lower at 443rd and 722nd, respectively.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Virginia | Notre Dame |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 83.8 (58th) | 72.9 (309th) |
| FG % | 47.3 (77th) | 44.7 (236th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 36.7 (65th) | 35.2 (155th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 28.4 (70th) | 23.9 (211th) |
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Basketball Betting Trends
- Virginia has an 80% success rate straight up in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Cavaliers are 10-5 against the spread when playing as the favorite.
- Virginia’s over/under record in the last 10 games is 3-7.
- Notre Dame has won 88.9% of their games straight up when favored.
- Additionally, the Fighting Irish have a 0-5 record against the spread in their last 5 games.
- Notre Dame’s over/under record in the last 5 games is 4-1.
Cavaliers Fighting Irish Free Pick: Virginia -9.5
Virginia has been strong lately, winning 80% of their last five games. They also have a solid record against the spread when favored. This makes them a reliable pick for covering the spread.
Notre Dame, on the other hand, has struggled against the spread in their last five games. Their recent performance suggests they might not keep up with Virginia. This adds confidence to picking Virginia to cover.
Virginia’s offense is also performing well, averaging 83.8 points per game. This could be too much for Notre Dame’s defense to handle. With these factors, Virginia -9.5 seems like a smart choice.
Notre Dame’s home record is decent, but their recent struggles against the spread can’t be ignored. Virginia’s form and stats make them the better pick for this game. So, Virginia -9.5 is the way to go.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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