Free NCAAB Pick: Red Raiders vs. Crimson Tide Odds
Looking for Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Red Raiders taking on the Crimson Tide on 3/22 at Benchmark International Arena, in Tampa, FL. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Red Raiders Crimson Tide matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Alabama Crimson Tide
(23-10) Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide (23-9)
Date: Mar 22, 2026
Time: 12:00 PM ET
Venue: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, FL
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Red Raiders -130 | Crimson Tide +110 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Red Raiders -1.5 | Crimson Tide +1.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 166.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Red Raiders Crimson Tide free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Red Raiders vs. Crimson Tide Gameday
Texas Tech and Alabama square off in the second round of the NCAA Tournament with both teams carrying real expectations. This one is set for Benchmark International Arena in Tampa on Sunday, March 22, 2026, at noon ET.
Texas Tech comes in ranked 20th with a 22-10 record and a 12-7 mark in Big 12 play. They made a deep run last year before falling to Florida in the Elite Eight.
Alabama sits right behind them at 18th in the AP poll with a 23-9 record. They went 13-6 in SEC play and also reached the Elite Eight before losing to Duke.
Both teams know this stage and won’t blink in pressure spots.
Texas Tech tends to lean on efficiency in half-court sets. That usually keeps games within tight margins.
Alabama plays faster and looks to stretch defenses early. Pace can swing totals in matchups like this.
Execution late often decides games between evenly rated teams.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide should come down to tempo control and shot quality late.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds & Last 5
Texas Tech is a slight favorite at -1.5 with a -130 moneyline. Alabama checks in at +1.5 with +110, so this is priced as a tight game.
The total sits at 166.5, which signals a fast pace and plenty of scoring chances. Both teams have shown they can push numbers.
Alabama made a strong run last postseason with wins over Saint Mary’s and BYU. They eventually fell to Duke in the Elite Eight.
They’ve proven they can handle tournament pressure. That matters in coin-flip spreads.
Texas Tech beat UNCW and Arkansas during their run before losing to Florida. They’ve also been comfortable in these spots.
Close spreads often come down to late free throws and possessions.
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Crimson Tide Stats
Alabama averages 91.7 points per game, ranking 3rd nationally. They knock down 12.7 threes per game, which ranks 5th.
They also play at a quick pace with 73.3 possessions per game, ranking 45th. That leads to 65.8 field goal attempts per game.
High-possession teams can force opponents out of rhythm.
Defensively, they rank 470th in steals and 700th in blocks. That’s an area that can show up against efficient teams.
Giving up clean looks can flip games quickly.
Aden Holloway and Keitenn Bristow are out, which impacts depth. Rotation minutes could tighten because of it.
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Red Raiders Stats
Texas Tech scores 80.4 points per game, ranking 89th nationally. Their effective field goal percentage is 56.2, which ranks 30th.
They rely on shot selection more than volume. Efficiency matters in tournament settings.
Defensively, they average 5.8 steals per game and commit 16.3 fouls. Both numbers point to areas that need tightening.
Foul trouble can swing games late.
In the postseason, Texas Tech is scoring 91.0 points per game, ranking 8th. Their three-point shooting sits at 55.0%, the best in the field.
Hot shooting runs can break games open quickly.
JT Toppin is out for the season with a torn ACL. LaTrell Hoover is also unavailable while redshirting.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide bottom line: pace versus efficiency sets the tone, and late execution should decide it.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Texas Tech | Alabama |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 80.4 (89th) | 91.7 (3rd) |
| FG % | 46.7 (90th) | 45.8 (155th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 39.3 (20th) | 35.8 (103rd) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 29.3 (47th) | 35.4 (8th) |
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Basketball Betting Trends
- Texas Tech is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 games.
- Alabama is 2-1 against the spread in their last 3 games.
- The Red Raiders have a 22-6 straight up record as favorites.
- Also, the Crimson Tide has a 6-2 record against the spread as underdogs.
- Texas Tech has hit the over in 4 of their last 5 games.
- Additionally, Alabama has a 7-3 record in hitting the over in their last 10 games.
Red Raiders Crimson Tide Free Pick: Over 166.5
Here is my Red Raiders Crimson Tide free pick: I’m going with the over because both teams bring serious scoring to the table.
Texas Tech has gone over in four of their last five, and they’ve been more aggressive offensively. That shift matters.
Alabama is even more explosive, averaging over 90 points per game. When they get hot, it turns into a track meet quickly.
Games involving Alabama rarely stay quiet for long, especially against teams willing to run with them.
In fact, both teams have been trending toward higher scoring games, and that’s hard to ignore. The pace should stay elevated throughout.
The number is high at 166.5, no question, but both offenses are capable of carrying their weight. This feels like one that climbs.
All in all, my college hoops betting system says the Over 166.5 is the play. I’ll trust the scoring to show up.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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NCAAB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Round of 32 vs. Texas Tech. #RollTide | #BlueCollarBasketball pic.twitter.com/xYu3og0PoT
— Alabama Men’s Basketball (@AlabamaMBB) March 22, 2026
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