Free NCAAB Pick: Saints vs. Warriors Odds
Looking for Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Saints taking on the Warriors on 3/10 at Boardwalk Hall, in Atlantic City, NJ. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Saints Warriors matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Siena Saints vs Merrimack College Warriors
(22-11) Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors (23-10)
Date: Mar 10, 2026
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, NJ
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Saints +133 | Warriors -164 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Saints +3.5 | Warriors -3.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 127.5
Here’s why I’m backing a Siena ATS bet below in my Saints Warriors free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Saints vs. Warriors Gameday
The Siena Saints and Merrimack College Warriors meet tonight at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City. This Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference matchup takes place at a neutral site.
Merrimack enters as a -3.5 favorite while Siena sits at +3.5.
Siena arrives with a 22-11 record this season. The Saints have played well recently and beat the Fairfield Stags by 15 points last game. Justice Shoats led that win with 26 points and 4 assists.
Guard play often controls games like this.
Siena and Merrimack games usually tighten late when possessions slow down.
Merrimack carries a 23-10 record with a strong 17-3 mark in conference play. The Warriors edged the Marist Red Foxes by one point in their most recent game. Tye Dorset scored 23 points and grabbed 6 rebounds in that win.
Neither team appears in the AP Poll which adds uncertainty to this matchup. The game will be televised on ESPN2. The total is set at 127.5 which points toward a slower pace.
It’s Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors and tempo could decide the margin.
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors Odds & Last 5
The Merrimack College Warriors enter as -3.5 favorites. Siena counters at +3.5 on the spread. The total for the game sits at 127.5.
Siena beat Fairfield by 15 points in its last game. Also, Justice Shoats scored 26 points in that performance. Teams that rely on guards often control close spreads.
Merrimack survived a tight matchup with Marist and won by one point. Tye Dorset led the effort with 23 points and 6 rebounds. Narrow wins can sharpen late-game execution.
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Warriors Stats
Merrimack recently edged the Marist Red Foxes 58-57. Tye Dorset played all 40 minutes and scored 23 points. Workhorse players often anchor close conference games.
The Warriors also beat Sacred Heart 70-48 in their previous outing. Kevair Kennedy led that game with 24 points and 8 rebounds. Ernest Shelton added 18 points which helped keep the offense balanced.
Merrimack averages 69.0 points per game this season. They make 8.0 three-pointers per game which ranks 192nd nationally. However, their free throw percentage sits at 78.8 which ranks 30th.
Defensively the Warriors average 8.2 steals and 5.0 blocks per game. They also limit mistakes with only 9.5 turnovers per game. Ball security can shift totals in slower games.
KC Ugwuakazi’s ankle injury remains a concern for the rotation. His availability could affect Merrimack’s depth moving forward.
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Saints Stats
The Siena Saints have won their last three games. They scored 76 points against both Fairfield and Rider while posting 63 against Mount St. Mary’s. Winning streaks often boost confidence in tournament settings.
Justice Shoats leads the team with 440 points and 146 assists this season. He scored 26 points with 4 assists in the Fairfield victory. Experienced guards often control tempo.
Gavin Doty also provides scoring punch with 585 points this season. His contributions have helped stabilize the offense during recent wins.
Defensively the Saints average 5.9 steals and 2.9 blocks per game. They keep turnovers relatively low at 9.9 per game. However, defensive pressure remains an area to improve.
Injuries could impact depth for Siena. Reid Ducharme and Tajae Jones are listed as questionable. Tasman Goodrick and Antonio Chandler remain out.
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors bottom line: Merrimack carries stronger conference form while Siena relies on guard scoring and momentum.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Siena | Merrimack College |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 70.7 (339th) | 69.0 (389th) |
| FG % | 45.9 (155th) | 42.0 (351st) |
| 3 Point FG% | 30.6 (389th) | 32.8 (290th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 17.7 (436th) | 24.4 (184th) |
Siena Saints vs. Merrimack College Warriors Basketball Betting Trends
- Siena has a strong record as a favorite, going 21-6 straight up.
- Also, the Saints have struggled with totals, hitting the under in their last 10 games with a 2-8 record.
- Merrimack has been solid straight up in their last 10 games, winning 9 out of 10.
- The Warriors have a 15-2 straight-up record when they are favorites.
- Additionally, Merrimack has covered the spread 60.6% of the time across all games this season.
- Siena is perfect against the spread in their last 3 games, going 3-0.
Saints Warriors Free Pick: Siena +3.5
Here is my Saints Warriors free pick: Siena enters this matchup riding a quiet but meaningful run against the spread, covering each of its last three games.
Teams that string together covers like that usually carry confidence into the next matchup.
Merrimack has been solid straight up this season, yet their spread results have been far less reliable. Winning games and covering numbers are not always the same thing.
Because Siena often plays controlled basketball and avoids long scoring droughts, they tend to stay within striking distance.
This shapes up as a competitive MAAC game where the number matters more than the winner.
The Saints have also leaned toward lower totals recently, with several games landing under the number. Slower pace usually benefits the underdog catching points.
Merrimack may still control stretches of the game, but building separation becomes difficult when possessions slow down. That dynamic favors the team taking points.
Overall grabbing +3.5 with a team currently covering spreads provides solid value.
I’m taking Siena plus the points.
Dogs hang around.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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NCAAB Betting Tweet Of The Day
One Last Business Trip.
🏀 vs #3 Siena
📅 Tuesday | 9 p.m.
📍 Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City, NJ
📺 @ESPN#GoMack // #DefendNoMatterWhat // #MakeChaos pic.twitter.com/sPEjgumcgr— Merrimack Men’s Basketball (@MerrimackMBB) March 10, 2026
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