Free NCAAB Pick: Hawks vs. Lobos Odds
Looking for Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Hawks taking on the Lobos on 3/24 at The Pit, in Albuquerque, NM. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Hawks Lobos matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs New Mexico Lobos
NIT Quarter Finals – (24-11) Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos (25-10)
Date: Mar 24, 2026
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Hawks +440 | Lobos -610 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Hawks +11.5 | Lobos -11.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 148.5
Here’s why I’m backing the bet below in my Hawks Lobos free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Hawks vs. Lobos Gameday
Tonight, Saint Joseph’s Hawks and New Mexico Lobos meet in the NIT Tournament with both teams looking to extend their postseason run. The game will be played at The Pit in Albuquerque, NM, with tip-off scheduled for 9:00 PM ET on ESPN2.
Saint Joseph’s finished the 2026 regular season at 22-11 and went 14-6 in Atlantic 10 play. They were competitive all year and stayed consistent in conference action.
Tournament games between similar teams usually hinge on pace and shot efficiency.
Last postseason, the Hawks dropped a close one to UAB, falling 65-69. That type of loss tends to stick with a team.
New Mexico wrapped up the regular season at 23-10 with a 14-8 record in the Mountain West. They have been strong at home throughout the year.
They beat Marquette in last year’s postseason before losing to Michigan State in the second round. That experience gives them a reference point.
Saint Joseph’s sits at 24-11 overall, while New Mexico is 25-10. Both teams have shown they can compete.
Games like this often tighten up late.
It’s Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos Odds & Last 5
New Mexico enters as the favorite with an -11.5 spread, while Saint Joseph’s is +11.5. The moneyline sits at -610 for New Mexico and +440 for Saint Joseph’s.
The total is set at 148.5, with the over at -105 and the under at -115. That number suggests scoring should be steady on both sides.
Totals in this range often depend on tempo control.
New Mexico’s postseason run last year included a win over Marquette before falling to Michigan State. That path shows they can handle pressure.
Teams with prior tournament success tend to stay composed.
Saint Joseph’s lost a tight game to UAB last postseason. They were competitive throughout that matchup.
Close losses can still translate into experience.
Both teams will look to improve on those results here.
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Lobos Stats
New Mexico is scoring 96.5 points per game in the postseason, ranking 2nd. Their field goal percentage sits at 50.4, which ranks 10th.
That kind of scoring pace can pressure any defense.
They average 10.5 steals per game, ranking 95th. Blocks have also climbed to 5.5 per game.
Defensive activity creates extra possessions.
From three-point range, they make 12 per game and shoot 39.3%. That ranks 12th and 23rd nationally.
Perimeter shooting opens the floor quickly.
Chris Howell, Kevin Patton Jr., and Deyton Albury are day-to-day. Kallai Patton and Sir Marius Jones are redshirting.
Depth could become a factor if rotations tighten.
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Hawks Stats
Saint Joseph’s is scoring 72.5 points per game in the postseason, ranking 55th. Their pace has increased to 66.4 possessions per game.
They are playing slightly faster than earlier in the season.
They attempt 63 field goals per game but shoot 42.1%. Their three-point percentage sits at 32.7%.
Shot selection will matter in this matchup.
Defensively, they average 6.5 steals and 3.5 blocks per game. That puts them 60th and 53rd.
Defensive discipline helps keep games close.
Will Lange, Steven Solano, and Owen Verna are dealing with injuries. Their availability remains uncertain.
Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos bottom line: New Mexico’s scoring pace and home court give them the edge in this matchup.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Saint Joseph’s | New Mexico |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 72.5 (55th) | 96.5 (2nd) |
| FG % | 42.1 (60th) | 50.4 (10th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 32.7 (55th) | 39.3 (23rd) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 24.5 (48th) | 30.5 (16th) |
Saint Joseph’s Hawks vs. New Mexico Lobos Basketball Betting Trends
- Saint Joseph’s has a strong SU record as a favorite, winning 73.1% of those games.
- New Mexico has a solid SU record in their last 10 games, winning 70% of them.
- Also, the Hawks have been perfect on the O/U in their last 5 games, going 5-0.
- The Lobos have struggled ATS in their last 10 games, with a 30% success rate.
- Additionally, New Mexico has an impressive SU record as a favorite, winning 84.6% of those games.
- Saint Joseph’s has been consistent on the O/U in all games, hitting the over 58.8% of the time.
Hawks Lobos Free Pick: Over 148.5
Here is my Hawks Lobos free pick: I’m going with the over because both teams have been playing in games that get loose pretty quickly.
Saint Joseph’s has gone 5-0 to the over in their last five, which tells you everything about their style right now. They’re not exactly slowing things down.
New Mexico has been even more explosive, averaging nearly 97 points per game in the postseason. That kind of pace can flip a total fast.
When both teams are comfortable running and scoring, totals like this start to feel a little light.
In addition, Saint Joseph’s doesn’t mind trading buckets, even if it gets messy. They can score enough to keep pressure on throughout.
New Mexico’s tempo tends to pull opponents into a faster game, and that usually leads to more chances on both ends.
That’s where overs build.
I’m on Over 148.5 here. Expect pace, scoring runs, and enough offense to clear it.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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NCAAB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Help us get to 10K, Lobo Nation!
🎟️ https://t.co/J8cXmAbu0G#GoLobos pic.twitter.com/MElpoGLIUU
— Lobo Basketball (@UNMLoboMBB) March 23, 2026
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