Free NCAA Hoops Pick: Missouri vs. Mississippi State CBB Odds
Looking for Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAA basketball free picks & CBB odds? CBB betting sees the Tigers take on the Bulldogs on Friday, February 18, 2022, at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all college basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NCAA basketball predictions like this Tigers Bulldogs matchup.
2022 NCAA Basketball Handicapping
(10-15) Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-11)
Date: Friday, February 18, 2022
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Humphrey Coliseum
CBB Moneyline Odds: Tigers +375/ Bulldogs -510
CBB Betting ATS Odds: Missouri +10.5 / Miss State -11.5 (Bet Now!)
CBB Betting Total: O/U 134.5
A couple of teams playing for increased conference tournament seeding meet on Friday as the Missouri Tigers visit the Mississippi State Bulldogs.
Both sides bring losing SEC records into game one of their weekend home-and-home series. Once a turnaround story, featuring Iverson Molinar, the Bulldogs have dropped four straight to fall off the NCAA bubble. Mizzou has split its last four outings to remain a live underdog.
Mississippi State enters as the -10.5 point favorite -even though they recently lost their NCAA Tournament at-large bid hopes.
Missouri Tigers
Missouri has certainly had its ups and downs this season. While the Tigers are well below .500 overall, the group boasts wins over SMU, Texas A&M, Ole Miss (twice) and Alabama. The blowout win over the Crimson Tide showed a different gear for Cuonzo Martin’s men.
Leading Mizzou scorer Kobe Brown buried 30 on Alabama to highlight his campaign. Overall, the Tigers, for all their flaws, still give major spoiler vibes heading into conference tournament play.
While Mizzou fell 76-57 recently versus Arkansas, the Tigers should have a better mindset on Friday than their deflated opponent. If that’s the case, expect another standout outing from Brown as his team simply has to come in under +10.5 vs. MSU.
The Tigers average 97.1 points per 100 possessions and allow 103.8. Mizzou shoots 43/27/71%. However, the Tigers have put together winning, complete performances lately to knock Ole Miss and Texas A&M off the bubble.
Mississippi State
Mississippi State battled through its first 16 games to earn early NCAA Tournament considerations. Unfortunately, that run ended during the Bulldogs’ ongoing 2-7 slump.
Iverson Molinar & Co. finally dropped from any big dance considerations after losing 80-75 vs. Alabama on Wednesday. When needed most, Molinar fell against the readied Crimson Tide defense. Overall, the Panama native added 22 points, but repeatedly missed clutch shots as his team’s greater hopes vanished.
Having lost four straight, I expect a deflated Mississippi State group tonight as their season’s expectations are unmet. While production from NBA hopeful Molinar is a given versus Mizzou, it is only fitting if some steam is missing from the Bulldogs’ usual fight.
Mississippi State has struggled offensively of late. The Bulldogs have surpassed 70 points just twice in their past six games.
Overall, MSU averages 107.5 points per 100 possessions and allows 99.3. Mississippi State shoots 46/31/72% -though, the group’s three-point struggles are well defined. A few cold spells on Friday could spell trouble against the spread for the Bulldogs.
CBB Betting Trends:
- Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
- Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
- Tigers are 4-3 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-0 in Bulldogs last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 6-1 in Bulldogs last 7 home games.
Free Missouri Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction:
I think the -10.5 line leaning toward Mississippi State is awfully thick considering their circumstances. Yes, technically, the Bulldogs are about an 11-point on-paper favorite vs. Mizzou.
However, given the nature of Mississippi State’s recent losses -including potential quad 1 heartbreakers vs. Alabama and Kentucky- to fall off the bubble, a letdown seems in order vs. plucky Missouri.
The Tigers just knocked Ole Miss and Texas A&M from the at-large NCAA Tournament scene. It certainly isn’t a stretch to assume Missouri will finish within -10.5 vs. the deflated Bulldogs.
4* Free CBB Betting Pick: Missouri +10.5 ATS
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