Free NCAAB Pick: Cyclones vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Cyclones taking on the Bears on 1/7 at Foster Pavilion, in Waco, TX. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Cyclones Bears matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Iowa State Cyclones vs Baylor Bears
(14-0) Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears (10-3)
Date: Jan 07, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX
NCAAB Moneyline Odds: Cyclones -230 | Bears +183 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NCAAB Spread Betting Odds: Cyclones -4.5 | Bears +4.5
NCAAB Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 155.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Cyclones Bears free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Cyclones vs. Bears Gameday
Big 12 basketball rolls into Waco as Iowa State steps into a building Baylor treats like protected property.
The Iowa State Cyclones head south to face the Baylor Bears at Foster Pavilion in a conference showdown airing on PEAC. Iowa State arrives unbeaten at 14-0 and favored on the road, laying -4.5 against a Baylor team that hasn’t dropped a home game yet.
Baylor enters with a 10-3 record and an unblemished 8-0 mark on its home floor.
Oddsmakers still side with the Cyclones, installing Iowa State as -4.5 favorites with a -230 moneyline despite Baylor’s home dominance.
Iowa State continues to steamroll opponents, most recently handling West Virginia 80-59 while flashing elite efficiency on both ends. Their offense keeps humming, and the confidence level stays sky-high with each double-digit win.
Baylor looks to respond after a 69-63 road loss to TCU, a game that exposed some half-court issues despite solid work from Cameron Carr. The Bears have shown they can explode offensively at home, but consistency remains the question when elite competition walks through the door.
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It’s Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Odds & Last 5
The betting market gives Iowa State the edge, listing the Cyclones as -4.5 favorites with a -230 moneyline. Baylor checks in at +183, tempting anyone willing to trust home-court chaos in the Big 12.
Iowa State has crushed everything in its path, stacking dominant wins over West Virginia, Houston Christian, and Long Beach State. Their shooting efficiency regularly clears 50%, and blowouts have become routine instead of surprising.
Baylor stumbled on the road at TCU but has shown a ruthless scoring ceiling at home, including a 124-point eruption earlier this season. Carr and Tounde Yessoufou remain focal points as the Bears try to slow Iowa State’s pace and turn this into a grind.
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Bears Stats
Baylor brings serious scoring punch, averaging 93.1 points per game, good for 11th nationally. Their 51.0% shooting rate ranks inside the top 20 and fuels their ability to overwhelm weaker defenses.
Results have swung wildly. The Bears managed only 63 points in a loss to TCU, then flipped the script with a 124-point demolition of Arlington Baptist on absurd shooting efficiency.
Cameron Carr leads the charge with 273 points in 13 games, while Tounde Yessoufou adds scoring pop and defensive activity with 31 steals. Baylor’s offense can erupt fast when rhythm shows up.
Defensively, the Bears remain middle-of-the-pack in steals and blocks, but their rebounding presence helps limit second chances and keep games from spiraling.
Cyclones Stats
Iowa State continues to look like a machine, averaging 89.6 points per game while ranking 2nd nationally in field goal percentage at 53.1%. From deep, they stay lethal at 41.9%, good for 12th.
Milan Momcilovic leads the scoring load, Joshua Jefferson controls the glass, and Tamin Lipsey orchestrates the offense with 65 assists. Balance defines this roster.
Recent results border on unfair. West Virginia, Houston Christian, and Long Beach State all went down by 20-plus as Iowa State dictated pace from start to finish.
Injury-wise, Eric Mulder and Xzavion Mitchell are expected to suit up, while Mason Williams remains sidelined for the season. The Cyclones arrive healthy where it matters and rolling with purpose.
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears bottom line: undefeated firepower meets undefeated home floor in a Big 12 collision that dares someone to blink.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Iowa State | Baylor |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 89.6 (21st) | 93.1 (11th) |
| FG % | 53.1 (2nd) | 51.0 (18th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 41.9 (12th) | 37.0 (70th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 22.4 (290th) | 23.3 (240th) |
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Baylor Bears Basketball Betting Trends
- The Cyclones have been perfect straight up in their last 10 games, going 10-0.
- Iowa State is 8-0 straight up when playing as the favorite.
- They have struggled against the spread in their last 5 games, with a 1-4 record.
- Also, the Cyclones are 5-5 against the spread in their last 10 games.
- As for totals, Iowa State has hit the over in 2 of their last 3 games.
- Additionally, the Cyclones’ totals record for all games stands at 8-6.
Cyclones Bears Free Pick: Over 155.5
Here is my Cyclones Bears free pick: Iowa State has been rolling, winning ten straight while scoring nearly 90 points per game. Efficiency has been the calling card, with over 53 percent shooting keeping the offense humming.
Baylor doesn’t exactly slow things down on the other side, averaging more than 93 points per game and ranking inside the top tier nationally. When the Bears get going, the pace rarely dips.
Both teams are comfortable scoring in bunches, which makes tempo hard to control. Trading runs is usually part of the script when these offenses share the floor.
Iowa State has already leaned over the total in two of its last three games. They’re not allergic to shootouts when opponents push them.
Baylor’s offensive profile suggests they can more than hold their end. Because both teams shoot efficiently, empty possessions should be limited.
When efficiency meets pace, totals don’t stay quiet for long.
This doesn’t require perfect shooting nights from both sides, just steady pressure.
If either team catches a rhythm early, the number comes into focus quickly.
At this point, expecting defenses to dictate feels optimistic. I’m backing the over 155.5 and letting the offenses lead the way.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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NCAAB Betting Tweet Of The Day
Big week at Foster… first up is MBB vs. No. 3 Iowa State tomorrow night at 7pm… We need you there! pic.twitter.com/aMxrpJiXGu
— Doug McNamee (@DougMcNameeBU) January 7, 2026
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