Free NBA Pick: Jazz vs Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Jazz taking on the Mavs on Thursday, February 9, 2017 at American Airlines Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions.
(33-19) Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks (20-32)
Date: Thursday, February 9
Time: 8:30PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Arena – Dallas, Texas
NBA Moneyline Odds: Off
NBA Betting Odds: Jazz -2
NBA Betting Total: 192
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The Dallas Mavericks began this season as the NBA’s biggest surprise — in a bad way. Nobody expected them to compete for a championship, but a top-six seed in the Western Conference wasn’t out of the question.
As it turned out, they were one of the worst teams in the league; however, a recent revival has them within spitting distance of the No. 8 seed out West.
The Utah Jazz, on the other hand, have looked competitive all season. That’s a testament to not just the talent and the system within the organization, but grittiness as well.
This is a group that’s dealt with injuries, yet it’s still first in the (admittedly light) Northwest Division and fourth in the conference.
*All statistics, rankings, standings and trends are current as of this writing at 5:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 8, 2017.
The Utah Jazz enter this contest scoring 99.9 points per contest. That number is only good enough for 28th in the league, but it doesn’t tell the whole story of how good this team actually is on offense.
When looking at offensive efficiency, Utah is actually a top-10 team in the league. How is this possible that they’re so efficiency and yet score so few points?
In a word: pace.
On the year, the Jazz are running the slowest pace of any team in the league. So it’s not that the Jazz struggle to put the ball in the basket — it’s that they simply have fewer opportunities.
Defensively, Utah is allowing teams to score 95.4 points per game. That number puts them at first in the league.
If you’re thinking to yourself that this is only because of pace, think again.
Utah is No. 3 in the Association in Defensive Efficiency behind only the Golden State Warriors (1st) and San Antonio Spurs (2nd).
Like the Jazz, the Dallas Mavericks run a slow pace. How slow you ask? They’re 29th in a league of 30 in that category with Utah being the only team that runs slower.
Unlike Utah, however, it’s clear that pace is the main reason for Dallas’ presumed defensive successes. On the year, the Mavs are allowing 100.5 points per contest, which is good enough for fourth in the league.
The catch is that they’re way down in 21st place in terms of defensive efficiency.
What makes this even worse for Dallas is that pace can’t excuse its troubles on offense, either. The team is posting just 97.7 points per game — dead last in the league — and it is 20th in terms of offensive efficiency.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Jazz are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Jazz are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
- Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
Free Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
The spread in this one is relatively small considering the disparity in overall records. But it makes sense on the surface.
For starters, Utah hasn’t been great against the spread considering they don’t put a lot of points on the board. There’s also the fact that Dallas has been improved as of late.
But here’s the thing: Utah’s defense is more than going to make up the difference against one of the league’s worst offnses.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Utah -2
This should be a low-scoring game, but it would take a huge offensive production from Dallas to keep it within two points.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Utah Jazz 101 – Dallas Mavericks 94
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