Free Pick: Raptors vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for Toronto Raptors vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Raptors taking on the Thunder on 1/25 at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Raptors Thunder free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Toronto Raptors vs. OKC Thunder
(28-19) Toronto Raptors vs. OKC Thunder (37-9)
Date: Jan 25, 2026
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
NBA Moneyline Odds: Raptors +450 | Thunder -550 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Raptors +12.5 | Thunder -12.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 225.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Toronto in my Raptors Thunder free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Raptors vs. Thunder Gameday
Sunday, the NBA serves up a seven-game slate, including the Toronto Raptors traveling to face the OKC Thunder.
Toronto enters this match having last played on Friday, winning 110-98 versus the Portland Trail Blazers. All five starters and two reserves scored in double figures, led by Sandro Mamukelashvili (who arguably was the best free agent signing this summer) with 22 points, six rebounds, four assists, and hit 3 of 6 deep balls.
As I predicted, the Pacers were a handful for the Thunder, who ended up losing to them 114-117 on Friday. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led his squad with 47 points, four rebounds, and four assists. Chet Holmgren registered a double-double of 25 points and 13 rebounds.
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Toronto Raptors vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
Last year, the Thunder swept the season series 2-0 and owns a current four-game win streak versus Toronto.
On the season, the Raptors hold the fourth seed with a 28-19 record. They are a solid road team sporting a winning 15-9 record away from Scotiabank Arena. Through the last five matches, Toronto is 3-2, but is 8-4 through the last 12 matches. This is the final game of a five-game road trip for the Dinos, who are 3-1 so far.
Meanwhile, OKC is also 3-2 through the last five matches, but it’s done nothing to alter their top-ranked position and 37-9 record. The Thunder are on a mini three-game home stand where they excel with a 20-3 record.
OKC is favored by 16.5 points with an over/under of 225.5 points.
Raptors Stats
Toronto ranks 17th offensively (114.2) and fourth defensively (112.1) while they are 12th in net rating (+2.1) and rank 22nd in pace (99.16).
The East’s fourth seed averages 114.3 points per game while its opponents average 112.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averages 29.6 (4th) and 43.1 (21st), respectively.
Toronto’s team leaders are Brandon Ingram for scoring (21.7 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (6.3), and Scottie Barnes for rebounds (8.2), steals (1.3), and blocks (1.4).
As a team, the Raptors shoot an abysmal 34.3% from the perimeter but have six players* shooting above the league average.
*minimum 10 games played
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (118.4) on offense and first on defense (105.5). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+12.9) and run the 13th-ranked pace (101.30).
The NBA’s top team averages 121.3 points per game while its opponents average 108.0 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 25.5 (17th) and 43.7 (tied for 17th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.3 points) as well as for assists (6.2), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.4), Cason Wallace for steals (2.1), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (2.0).
As for the perimeter, seven Thunder players shoot at least 36.5%, with the team shooting 36.1% overall.
*minimum 10 games
Toronto Raptors vs. OKC Thunder bottom line:
Injuries are the focus entering this matchup as both teams navigate a slew of players dealing with ongoing bumps and bruises.
It’s who is out that could play a major factor, however, as the Raptors are missing centers and guards while the Thunder has a bevy of players across all positions, uncertain to play.
Toronto Raptors vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- Toronto is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto’s last 9 games when playing in Oklahoma City.
- Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
Raptors Thunder Free Pick: Raptors +12.5
Here is my Raptors Thunder free pick.
Toronto is still missing its center, Jakob Poeltl, which could be particularly problematic given the length available upfront for OKC. In addition, Immanuel Quickley, Ja’Kobe Walter, and Collin Murray-Boyles are listed as game-time decisions.
OKC is in even more trouble with Isaiah Hartenstein, Alex Caruso, Ajay Mitchell, and Jalen Williams all out, while Aaron Wiggins is listed as questionable.
Both squads sport winning records despite navigating the majority of the season with a shortened bench due to injuries. While the depth of OKC was never in question the shocker is the Raptors who continue to maintain a home court seed.
OKC is formidable, but the Raptors could be an intriguing opponent given their defensive versatility and length.
The teams rank first (OKC) and second (Raptors) in opponent fast break scoring, while the Raptors also rank third in perimeter defense.
For that reason (and assuming at least one of the questionable players suits up), I’ll take the 12.5 points. OKC likely still wins, but this match should be closer than projected.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Tonight’s group photo has 25 new members
We’re nothing without our fans 🫶 pic.twitter.com/6gokMrOJeF
— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) January 24, 2026
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