Free NBA Pick: Spurs vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Spurs taking on the Heat on Saturday, December 10th, 2022 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Spurs-Heat matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(7-18) San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat (12-14)
Date: Saturday, December 10th, 2022
Time: 5:00 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
NBA Moneyline Odds: Spurs +400 | Heat -500 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: MIA -11
NBA Betting Total: 225
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The road Spurs come into this one off a 118-109 home win over the Houston Rockets. They entered that one as 2-point underdogs and covered for just the first time in their last 10 outings.
The home Heat come into this one off a 115-110 home win over the LA Clippers. They entered that one as 6.5-point favoriters and failed to cover for the third game in a row and fifth time in their last 10 outings.
On the year, San Antonio is 10-15 against the spread while Miami is 8-17-1.
These two teams have faced off twice during the 2022-23 regular season. The first game was on Friday, Nov. 4 in San Antonio, a 113-106 Clippers win. The second was also a Clippers win, 119-97, but it was in Los Angeles on Saturday, Nov. 19.
San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs are the proud co-owners of the Western Conference’s worst record with the Houston Rockets. A few weeks back they were teasing fringe Play-In status, but they’ve come way back down to Earth and look like the team we expected to be in the thick of the Victor Wembanyama Lottery race of 2023.
On the year, San Antonio is scoring 109.8 points per contest, which puts the team in 25th.
In terms of advanced stats, the Spurs score 105.3 points per 100 possessions. That number ranks 29th ahead of only the No. 30 LA Clippers.
Defensively, this groups allows 120.8 points per night, putting them in last place 30th.
Looking at Defensive Efficiency, San Antonio gives up 116.5 points per 100 possessions—a number that also ranks dead last 30th on the year.
As of this writing, the Spurs list Devin Vassell as Questionable.
Keita Bates-Diop, Jeremy Sochan, Jakob Poeltl and Blake Wesley are OUT.
Miami Heat
Unlike San Antonio, the Heat are trying to win now, win this postseason and maximize two stars in Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo.
Butler is leading the Heat in points per game with 21.3, dimes at 6.1 and also steals with 1.8.
Adebayo is No. 2 on the roster in points per game at 21.2, and he’s also leading the way on the glass at 9.2 rebounds per contest
On the season, Miami scores 108.5 points per night—a number that ranks 28th.
Looking at the advanced stats, they’re scoring 107.7 points per 100 possessions, which also puts them in 24th.
Defensively, Miami is giving up 110.2 points per night. That number ranks No. 9 in the NBA.
Looking at Defensive Efficiency, the Heat give up 108.6 points per 100 possessions, putting them in No. 7 across the Association.
On the injury report, Miami lists the following players as Day-to-Day: Dewayne Dedmon, Victor Oladipo, Duncan Robinson, Tyler Herro and Max Strus.
Notably, Herro and Robinson are Probable as of this writing.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Spurs are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Heat are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Under is 13-3 in Spurs last 16 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Free San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
The Heat didn’t expect to be chasing a .500 record at this point in the season, as early as we still may be. But with 30 percent of the 2022-23 campaign in the books, Miami has gone 5-5 in its last 10 and should have no problem adding a little momentum Saturday against the Spurs.
An 11-point spread is a lot, especially considering the Heat have lacked consistency—and since you can expect this to be a low-scoring game. But fear not, Heat fans; the Spurs really do look that crummy having lost 9 of their last 10 straight up.
Miami gets this one at home comfortably.
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