Free Pick: Spurs vs. Rockets Odds
Looking for San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Spurs taking on the Rockets on 1/28 at the Toyota Center in Houston. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Spurs Rockets free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets
(31-16) San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets (28-16)
Date: Jan 28, 2026
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Spurs +126 | Rockets -140 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Spurs +2.5 | Rockets -2.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 220.5
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown favorites as outlined in my Spurs Rockets free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Spurs vs. Rockets Gameday
Wednesday serves up nine contests on the NBA slate, including the San Antonio Spurs versus the Houston Rockets.
San Antonio arrives following a 95-104 loss to the New Orleans Pelicans. Five Spurs scored in double figures, led by Victor Wembanyama, who registered a double-double of 16 points and 16 rebounds, along with four blocks.
Houston outlasted the Memphis Grizzlies 108-99 for the victory on Monday. Just three Rockets scored in double digits, led by Kevin Durant, who scored 33 points and added eight rebounds, while Alperen Sengun filled up the stat sheet with 33 points, nine rebounds, six assists, and one steal.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets Odds & Last 5
Last year, the teams played four times, and the Rockets took the series three games to one, while the clubs have played twice this season, each winning once.
San Antonio resides in the second seed in the West with a 31-15 record. Through the last five matches, they possess a 3-2 record. Since they beat the Thunder for the third time in as many tries, they’ve been middling (8-8). The Spurs will play five of their next eight contests on the road.
Houston resides behind the Spurs in the fourth seed with a 28-16 record. They trail the Nuggets and Spurs by two games and are ahead of the Lakers by a half game. Through the last five matches, the Rockets are 4-1 helped by a long stint at the Toyota Center.
Houston is favored by 2.5 points with an over/under of 220.5 points.
Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks ninth offensively (116.5) and third defensively (111.5) while it is fifth in net rating (+5.0) and 16th in pace (100.55).
The West’s second seed averages 117.4 points per game while its opponents average 112.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 25.9 (16th) and 46.3 (tied for second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who is tops in scoring (24.2 points), rebounding (11.1), and blocks (2.7), while Stephon Castle leads the Spurs in assists (7.0) and steals (1.3).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have seven players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 34.8%.
*minimum 10 games played
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Rockets Stats
With 44 games in the pocket, Houston ranks fourth overall (118.7) on offense and eighth on defense (112.5). Additionally, the Rockets hold the fourth-ranked net rating (+6.2) and run the 28th slowest pace (96.83).
The West’s fourth seed averages 116.7 points per game, while its opponents average 110.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Houston averages 24.9 (25th) and 48.8 (1st), respectively.
Team leaders are Kevin Durant for scoring (26.4), Alperen Sengun for assists (6.4), rebounds (9.0), steals (1.5), and blocks (1.0).
Perimeter shooting is a major advantage for Houston, which shoots the deep ball at an average of 37.0%. Six different players average between 36.8% and 46.8%.
*Minimum 10 games played
San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets bottom line:
While this should be a competitive game, it’s worth noting the Rockets play a different, more confident style of ball at the Toyota Center than they do on the road. To wit, the Rockets are 16-3 at home versus 12-13 on the road.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Houston Rockets Basketball Betting Trends
- San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Antonio’s last 13 games.
- San Antonio is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
- Also, Houston is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston’s last 7 games.
- Additionally, Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Spurs Rockets Free Pick: Rockets -2.5
Here is my Spurs Rockets free pick.
As always, Houston’s length will be a problem, along with their perimeter shooting. While the Rockets possess the fourth-best perimeter efficiency, the Spurs lie in the middle ground for perimeter defense, ranking 16th.
It will be interesting to see which player gets the nod in Houston for the All-Star Game because each of Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun are having big seasons. It’s unlikely both get the nod especially since they’ve slipped down the ladder.
Houston also is number one on the boards, while the Spurs aren’t far behind in third. Whoever wins the glass is likely to capture the “W”.
Given Houston’s dominance at home and their length I’ll take the Rockets to close the gap between them and San Antonio.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Alpi & KD combined for 66 PTS tonight 🤜🤛 pic.twitter.com/UcbKErCrwV
— Houston Rockets (@HoustonRockets) January 27, 2026
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