Free Pick: Blazers vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for Portland Trail Blazers vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Blazers taking on the Thunder on 12/31 at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Blazers Thunder free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Portland Trail Blazers vs. OKC Thunder
(14-19) Portland Trail Blazers vs. OKC Thunder (28-5)
Date: Dec 31, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
NBA Moneyline Odds: Blazers +733 | Thunder -809 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Blazers +15 | Thunder -15
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 234
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Portland as per below in my Blazers Thunder free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Blazers vs. Thunder Gameday
New Year’s Eve serves up nine matches on the hardwood, including the Portland Trail Blazers facing the OKC Thunder.
Both teams were completing a back-to-back set on Monday, so this will be their third game in four days. Portland beat the Mavericks 125-122 in a nailbiter. The Blazers got out to an early 17-point lead and had to hang on for the win.
Four Blazers scored in double-figures with Deni Avdija leading the way, coming just shy of a triple-double (27 points, 11 assists, nine rebounds).
Meanwhile, the Thunder got back to business as the top team in the NBA and was happy not to be playing the Spurs. OKC defeated the Hawks 140-129 with six players scoring in double figures.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way, scoring 39 points with six rebounds and six assists, while Chet Holmgren delivered a double-double of 24 points and 10 rebounds. Jalen Williams also had one of his better outings with 20 points, eight rebounds, and seven assists.
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Thunder rarely lost more than once versus any team, and the Blazers fell into that territory as OKC swept their four meetings. This is their fourth meeting this season, with the Blazers one of three teams that have bested the Thunder, although the latter leads the series 2-1.
Portland sits in the 10th seed with a record of 13-19, having struggled of late with a 2-3 record through their last five matches. This is the first match in a three-game road trip.
OKC has the best record (28-5) in the NBA and is 3-2 through the last five matches. The Thunder will play six of their next nine at home.
The Thunder are heavy favorites with a point spread of 15 points and an over/under of 234 points.
Blazers Stats
Portland ranks 23rd (113.0) offensively, 20th defensively (116.3), 22nd in net rating (-3.3), and runs with a pace of 102.55, which ranks fifth.
The Blazers average 116.6 points per game while their opponents average 120.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Portland averages 24.7 (25th) and 45.2 (tied for 8th), respectively.
Portland’s team leaders* are Deni Avdija for scoring (25.5 points), Jrue Holiday for assists (8.3) and steals (1.6), Donovan Clingan for rebounds (10.6) and blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, the Blazers are abysmal from deep, averaging 33.4% while four players shoot between 36.1% and 45.2%.
*minimum 10 games
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (118.8) on offense and first on defense (105.0). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+13.8) and run the 12th-ranked pace (101.45).
The NBA’s top team averages 122.1 points per game while its opponents average 107.9 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 25.8 (18th) and 44.4 (tied 14th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.0 points) as well as for assists (6.4), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.4), Cason Wallace for steals (2.3), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (1.5).
As for the perimeter, seven Thunder players shoot at least 39%, with the team shooting 36.8 overall (5th best).
*minimum 10 games
Portland Trail Blazers vs. OKC Thunder bottom line:
A commonality of the teams that have beaten the Thunder exists as the Spurs, Blazers, and Wolves all have youngsters who can get out and run, plus they all play hard.
OKC can also fall prey to teams that are young and physical and/or have speedy guards who can dominate in the paint or mid-range. To wit, watch for Avjida to have a big game.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- Portland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games against Oklahoma City.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games.
- Portland is 1-18 SU in its last 19 games against Oklahoma City.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of OKC’s last 5 games when hosting Portland.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home.
Blazers Thunder Free Pick: Thunder -15.5
Here is my Blazers Thunder free pick.
If you haven’t watched the Blazers, add them to your League Pass menu as they bring a fun and upbeat brand of basketball to the court. They never give up in matches, and teams are learning they can’t take the Blazers for granted.
Jalen Williams still looks bothered by his wrist and while he brings solid defense to the court it feels like OKC has so much room to grow as JDub gets back in game shape and his shot begins to fall.
The big question for OKC is whether the Spurs are the only team that will cause them tribulation. Since the Blazers have beaten them once, this match will then serve as a bit of a litmus test.
Although I’ll take the Thunder to win, the point spread is just too rich for me so take the points and the Blazers to keep it closer than 15 points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Chandler Parsons says the OKC Thunder have the most backcourt depth in the league ⚡️🗣️🥇
SGA, JDub, Ajay, Joe, Caruso, Dort — do you think there’s a better group of guards in the NBA? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/TaS26976P1
— Run It Back (@RunItBackFDTV) December 30, 2025
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