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2025 NBA Handicapping – Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks
(6-6) Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks (3-10)
Date: Nov 16, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Trail Blazers -150 | Mavericks +130 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Trail Blazers -3.5| Mavericks +3.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 233.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favorite Portland as per below in my Blazers Mavericks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks Gameday
Sunday serves up eight matches, including the Portland Trail Blazers traveling to face their hosts, the Dallas Mavericks.
Portland is coming off a beatdown by the Rockets, with this being the final game of a five-game road trip.
The Mavericks lost a heartbreaker, pushing the Clippers to double-overtime, and have now lost three games in a row. This is the final game of a four-game homestand for the Mavs.
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Mavericks took three of the four games in the series.
In the last five matches, the Blazers are 2-3 and possess a 6-6 record this season.
Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 1-4 in the last five contests, with a 3-10 record this season.
The Blazers are the favorite by a spread of 3.5 points with an over/under of 233.5 points.
Trail Blazers Stats
Portland holds the 14th-ranked offense (116.1) and 20th-ranked defense (115.7), along with the 18th-best net rating (+0.4) and running the second-fastest pace (104.13).
Although Portland ranks 20th on defense, they are elite at protecting the perimeter, allowing the second fewest attempts from behind the arc and the third fewest makes.
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Mavericks Stats
The Mavericks rank 29th offensively (104.4) but are shockingly fourth defensively (110.3), with the 24th-best net rating of -5.8 while running a pace of 103.8, which ranks fifth overall.
In a bit of an oddity, Dallas hits the fewest 3-pointers but also holds opponents to the fewest 3-pointers.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks bottom line: It is worth a deeper dive into the Blazers’ schedule to provide more context for where they currently sit on the ladder.
They are the lone team to beat the Thunder, but it required a comeback from being down over 20 points and Deni Avdija going off.
The elephant in the room is of their 12 contests, only three were against teams with losing records. The other nine were against the plus .500 squads, of which they collected four wins with five losses.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Dallas Mavericks Basketball Betting Trends
- Portland is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland’s last 6 games.
- Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
- Also, Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas’ last 5 games against Portland.
- Additionally, Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Trail Blazers Mavericks Free Pick: Blazers -3.5
Here is my Trail Blazers Mavericks free pick. Despite their record, it’s hard to knock the Mavericks given who is sitting on the bench in dress clothes. Similarly, the Blazers’ record, while a bit surprising perhaps, is partially reflective of how many quality teams they’ve played already.
In contrast to the difficult strength of schedule the Blazers have had the Mavericks have only played four games on the road and a little less than half their matches against lower-tier squads.
Avjida is having a break out season (is it too early to toss his hat in the ring for Most Improved?) averaging 25.8 points, 6.6 rebounds, 4.6 assists while shooting 38.3% from deep and 48.8% from the field.
The Mavs (when healthy) have a roster designed to protect the rim and paint. That hasn’t been the case through the early going with Anthony Davis unavailable and Dereck Lively just back from missing nine games.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
DUNK OF THE YEAR?!
The dunk scored a 120.8, the highest of the year, with the next best at 117.8 👀 pic.twitter.com/Jc0ZVWW5jm
— Portland Trail Blazers (@trailblazers) November 15, 2025
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