Free NBA Pick: Magic vs Nets NBA Odds
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(27-48) Orlando Magic vs. Brooklyn Nets (16-59)
Date: Saturday, April 1
Time: 6:00 PM EST
Venue: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York.
NBA Moneyline Odds: Off
NBA Betting Odds: Brooklyn -3.5
NBA Betting Total: 222
Live NBA Odds
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If you’re looking for a battle of uninspiring basketball, this is the one for you! Orlando and Brooklyn are both on two-game losing streaks and the former has lost seven of its last 10 while the latter has lost six of its last 10.
But while uninspiring basketball of this sorts can result in rather uninteresting television (we do not recommend watching this contest if you can avoid it), it creates an interesting case study for bettors.
*All statistics, standings, records, rankings and trends are current as of this writing at 6:00 p.m. ET on Friday, March 31, 2017.
The Magic opened this season with hopes of returning to the playoffs. New head coach Frank Vogel made that clear when he declared as much during an open practice before the year officially began.
With Vogel roaming the sidelines and newly acquired Serge Ibaka on board, it was easy to see how this team’s defensive mindset could result in the head coach’s ambitious goal coming to fruition.
Five months later and the Magic are one of the worst teams in the league. Only three teams have a worse record than they do (the Nets, Phoenix Suns and Los Angeles Lakers) and only three teams have a worse L10 record than their current 3-7 stretch (the Suns, Lakers and New York Knicks).
If Orlando’s going to have a chance in this game, it’s going to need to control the pace. Brooklyn loves to get out and run, and the Magic would be wise to slow things down and force them into half-court sets.
If the Magic succeed in implementing that game plan of slowing down the pace, the Nets will be in trouble.
On the year, Brooklyn is 14th in points per game scored. That’s not a horrible place to be (in the top half of the league), but it doesn’t tell the whole story.
While Brooklyn’s points per game look fine on the surface, the only reason they score those points is because of that pace. The Nets run the fastest pace in the NBA and have the worst points-per-100-possessions average.
Luckily for this squad, getting out and running against Orlando shouldn’t be a problem.
The Magic, despite hoping to be a defensive improvement this season, have been hot garbage on that end of the floor.
That’s not going to suddenly change in this one, giving the Nets plenty of opportunities to get out and run whenever they feel like it.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Magic are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
- Magic are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Magic are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
- Nets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Nets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall
Free Orlando Magic vs. Brooklyn Nets NBA Prediction:
Okay, so the Nets are favored to win this game. That’s something that just hasn’t happened much this season.
We get that there’s home-court advantage at play here and that this group has been surprisingly competitive against the spread all season, but are we seriously going to buy them as 3.5-point favorites with their current roster makeup and cozy spot at the bottom of the league-wide standings?
You bet we are.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Brooklyn ATS
This is more of an indictment against the current status of the Magic than a testament to the greatness of the Nets, but that makes no difference to us as far as picking against the spread is concerned.
The Nets are bad. We won’t deny this.
But the Magic are actually, somehow, almost unfathomably worse at this juncture.
Give this one to Brooklyn at home both straight up and against the spread.
NBA Free Score Prediction: Brooklyn Nets 111 – Orlando Magic 103
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