Free Pick: Thunder vs. Suns Odds
Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Suns on 1/4 at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Suns free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
(30-5) OKC Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns (20-14)
Date: Jan 4, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ
NBA Moneyline Odds: Thunder -345 | Suns +280 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Thunder -8.5 | Suns +8.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 228.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Phoenix as outlined in my Thunder Suns free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Thunder vs. Suns Gameday
It’s an eight-game slate on Sunday in the NBA, including the OKC Thunder versus the Phoenix Suns.
Both teams last played on Friday, with the Thunder routing the undermanned Golden State Warriors 131-94. Seven players scored in double figures with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way with 30 points and seven assists. The starters sat for the final frame with the team up by 30 points.
Likewise, Phoenix is coming off a win, having spanked the Kings 129-102. In the victory, six Suns scored in double figures, led by Devin Booker, who dropped 33 points.
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OKC Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last year, the Thunder dominated, sweeping their three-game series. OKC holds a current eight-game winning streak versus the Suns, including the two matches they won this season.
OKC is on a four-game winning streak and remains the top seed in the NBA, being the first to break the 30-win mark, and has five losses.
Phoenix is also playing well, having won five of its last six matches. The Suns sit in the seventh seed with a record of 20-14.
OKC is favored by 8.5 points with an over/under of 228.5 points.
Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (119.0) on offense and first on defense (104.1). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+14.9) and run the 10th-ranked pace (101.66).
The NBA’s top team averages 122.4 points per game while its opponents average 107.1 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 26.2 (15th) and 44.6 (13th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.1 points) as well as for assists (6.4), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.4), Cason Wallace for steals (**2.2), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (1.8).
As for the perimeter, eight Thunder players shoot at least 36.3%, with the team shooting 36.8 overall (5th best).
*minimum 10 games
** leads the NBA
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Suns Stats
Phoenix ranks 14th offensively (114.5) and ninth defensively (113.7) while sitting 11th in net rating (+1.8) and ranks 21st in pace (100.06).
The West’s seventh seed averages 115.5 points per game while its opponents average 113.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averages 25.4 (20th) and 43.2 (tied for 22nd), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* are Devin Booker for scoring (25.7 points) and assists (6.3), Mark Williams for rebounds (8.3) and blocks (0.9), and Grayson Allen for steals (1.7).
As a team, the Suns shoot 36.3% from the perimeter with five players who average between 39.2% and 100.0%.
*Minimum 10 games played
OKC Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns bottom line: Both clubs arrive on a hot streak, although the Thunder has the upper hand in the season series, the Suns will bring their competitive aggression to the court.
Both clubs also perform at approximately the same efficiency from the perimeter, although the Thunder has more players they can tap to take the shot from deep.
OKC Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Basketball Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games played in January.
- Oklahoma City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Phoenix.
- Also, Phoenix is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix’s last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
- Additionally, Phoenix is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games at home.
Thunder Suns Free Pick: Suns +8.5
Here is my Thunder Suns free pick.
OKC maintains the best defense in the league, but the Suns rank ninth and have had the fourth best defense through the last five matches.
Phoenix will need to protect the ball as a key strength for the Thunder is forcing turnovers. They will also need to be cognizant of the interior defense OKC offers where they tend to force most of those turnovers that lead to fast break scoring.
While I like the Thunder to win, I really like the grittiness and scrappy nature of the Suns so I’ll take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Phoenix Suns haven’t reached 20 wins this fast since the 2020-21 season 👀 pic.twitter.com/3SalXMO0qJ
— PHNX Suns (@PHNX_Suns) January 3, 2026
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