Free Pick: Thunder vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Wolves on 1/29 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Thunder Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(38-10) OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (29-19)
Date: Jan 29, 2026
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Thunder -244 | Wolves +205 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Thunder -6.5 | Wolves +6.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 225.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Minnesota as outlined in my Thunder Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Thunder vs. Wolves Gameday
On Thursday, the NBA offers an eight-game slate, including the OKC Thunder facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
OKC last played on Tuesday, getting back on track with a 104-95 win versus the New Orleans Pelicans to end their brief two-game slide.
In the victory, five Thunder players registered double-digit scoring as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander delivered 29 points, six rebounds, and four assists. Chet Holmgren posted a double-double of 20 points and 10 rebounds plus five blocks.
Meanwhile, the Wolves are completing a back-to-back set, having beaten the Mavericks 118-105. Just three Wolves registered double-figure scoring, led by Julius Randle with 31 points and five rebounds, while Anthony Edwards filled up the stat sheet with 20 points, six rebounds, six assists, three steals, and a block.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Northwest Division rivals split the four-game series. This is the third of four contests between the clubs this year, with the teams even at a game apiece.
Over the last five games, the Thunder are 3-2 but remain atop the NBA with the best record of 38-10. While most teams would be thrilled given their standing, it’s a bit of a red flag that the Thunder have struggled lately, albeit they’ve been limited by injuries.
Minnesota has fluctuated back and forth between great and mediocre all season long, often playing down to its competition. The recent outing was a perfect example of this, as they struggled to put away the Mavs despite Cooper Flagg and Anthony Edwards being sidelined. They sit in sixth in the West with a 29-19 record overall.
Entering this matchup, the Thunder are 6.5 favorites to win with an over/under of 225.5 points.
Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (117.9) on offense and first on defense (105.3). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+12.6) and run the 13th-ranked pace (101.11).
The NBA’s top team averages 120.5 points per game while its opponents average 107.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 25.4 (18th) and 43.8 (tied for 17th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.0 points) as well as for assists (6.2), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.4), Cason Wallace for steals (2.1), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (2.0).
As for the perimeter, six Thunder players shoot at least 36.1%, with the team shooting 35.8 overall.
*minimum 10 games
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks 10th offensively (116.2), fourth defensively (111.7), and eighth in net rating (+4.4), running a pace of 101.62, which ranks ninth overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.6 assists (12th) and 45.0 rebounds (10th). Minny scores 119.0 points per game while their opponents average 114.1 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.4 points), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.2) and blocks (1.7), and Julius Randle for assists (5.4) and Donte DiVincenzo for steals (1.4).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.1% from deep with seven players shooting above 36.4%.
*minimum 10 games
OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
Looking back, the Wolves’ upward momentum began after these clubs’ last match, when Minny prevailed to beat the Thunder. At the time, OKC was 25-2, so they were far from an easy out.
It was a statement win for Minnesota, who went on to register a 9-4 record through their next 13 games, but then fell into a rut losing five in a row. They are seemingly back on track with two wins in a row, with an opportunity to boost their confidence again.
OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Oklahoma City is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games.
- Oklahoma City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games.
- Also, Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games played in January.
Thunder Wolves Free Pick: Wolves +6.5
Here is my Thunder Wolves free pick.
Since they began the season on a 24-1 tear, the Thunder has been closer to middling with a 13-9 record. That said, they’ve dealt with more than the average number of injuries, although Gilgeous-Alexander has remained healthy, which the team can credit for several of their clutch-time wins.
Entering this match the NBA All-Star reserves will be announced with the expected addition of a second OKC player given their status atop the league. The likely recipient will be Chet Holmgren while Anthony Edwards is all but a shoo-in to get the nod.
These clubs always put on a show, and while the Thunder are the better overall team, something tells me Minny will come out fired up to make a statement again.
I’m not confident they’ll capture the “W,” but I like the points in this match and a close contest.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Here’s the injury report for OKC’s road game against Minnesota tomorrow:
Isaiah Hartenstein is no longer listed. He’s available after missing the last 16 games due to a right soleus strain. Big news for the Thunder. pic.twitter.com/BPJD8zDXwj
— Justin Martinez (@Justintohoops) January 28, 2026
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