Free NBA Pick: Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Nuggets on Friday, May 9th, at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Thunder Nuggets matchup.
2025 NBA Playoffs Handicapping OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets
(1-1) OKC Thunder vs. Denver Nuggets (1-1)
Date: Friday, May 9th
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
Moneyline NBA Odds: Thunder -210| Nuggets +170 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Thunder -5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 232.5
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On Friday, May 9th, Game 3 of the semi-final games between the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder is the prime time event.
Denver shocked OKC, winning in clutch time to take back home court, but the Thunder evened up the series with a 149-106 beatdown in Game 2.
The Nuggets beat the Clippers in 7 games to reach this stage, while the Thunder swept the Grizzlies. The winner of this series will face the victor of the Warriors-Wolves semi-finals.
Season Series
The Thunder won three of the four matches between the Northwestern Division rivals last season, while OKC also holds the all-time record between the squads with 107 victories in 202 matches.
OKC Thunder
The Thunder became the first home team to win a game in the semi-finals and did so in impressive fashion, dominating in every category and creating some history along the way.
The 87 points the Thunder scored in the first half are a playoff record, and they tied the record for most points in any half.
After Nikola Jokic had the better night in Game 1, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander reminded fans of why he’s the leading MVP candidate, shooting a highly efficient 11 of 13 for 34 points with eight assists and was a gaudy plus +51 in just three quarters.
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranked third offensively (119.2) and first defensively (106.6) with a net differential of plus +12.7, which also ranked first overall this regular season.
Notably, the Thunder’s record against the spread is 58-30-1 through 89 contests.
Thunder Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Nicola Topic, PG ( OUT for season — ACL)
Denver Nuggets
After an impressive comeback in the initial meeting the Nuggets appeared shell shocked in Game 2 with Jokic having one of his worst postseason performances.
Oddly, he still almost registered a triple-double offering 17 points (on 6 of 16 from the field), eight rebounds, and six assists, but also had six turnovers.
Nuggets Stats
This season, Denver ranked fourth offensively (118.9) and 21st defensively (115.1) with a net differential of plus +3.8, which ranked ninth overall.
Despite their overall placement, the Nuggets weren’t as solid against the spread with a 42-47-2 record through 91 contests.
Nuggets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- DaRon Holmes II, PF (OUT for season — Achilles)
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Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, OKC are 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games.
- Oklahoma City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Denver.
- Also, the Thunder are 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against Denver.
- By comparison, Denver is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Nuggets are 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
Free NBA Prediction:
Now that the series shifts to Denver the altitude could factor although the young Thunder squad are stellar away from home (32-8) while the Nuggets haven’t dominated at Ball Arena like they’ve typically done (26-15).
Mark Daigneault is sending a steady diet of Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jaylin Williams at Jokic to tire him out or force someone else to score.
Russell Westbrook has consistently delivered with the trio of Aaron Gordon, Michael Porter Jr., and Christian Braun combining for 21 points on 6 of 28 shooting in Game 2.
And, that’s where the issues lie in the series because the Thunder are the superior defensive team which will always give them an opportunity to win.
4* Free Thunder vs. Nuggets NBA Betting Pick: Thunder ATS
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
New game tomorrow pic.twitter.com/EOniCoNS9h
— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) May 8, 2025
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