Free Pick: Pelicans vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Pelicans taking on the Wolves on 2/6 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Pelicans Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(13-40) New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (32-20)
Date: Feb 6, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Pelicans +385 | Wolves -475 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Pelicans +10.5 | Wolves -10.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 236.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog New Orleans as outlined in my Pelicans Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Pelicans vs. Wolves Gameday
Friday serves up a small slate of six NBA matches, including the New Orleans Pelicans facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
New Orleans last played on Wednesday, losing an overtime battle 137-141 to the Milwaukee Bucks. It was their third loss in a row.
In the loss, four Pelicans registered double-digit scoring as Trey Murphy III led the way with 44 points while Zion Williamson continued his recent solid play with 20 points, five rebounds, eight assists, and two steals.
The Wolves also last played on Wednesday, winning a 128-126 nailbiter in Toronto. Seven Wolves registered double-figure scoring, led by Anthony Edwards with 30 points, eight rebounds, five assists, three steals, and a block.
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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Timberwolves won the regular series two games to one and are up 2-0 this year.
Over the last five games, the Pelicans are 1-4 but have been in several of those contests. They reside in the tankers group with a record of 13-40 in the 14th seed. One positive is the Pelicans are finally starting to get healthy. After this match, they’ll return home for a five-game home stand.
Minnesota has fluctuated back and forth between great and mediocre all season long, often playing down to its competition, but are on a roll of late. To wit, they are 5-1 through the last six matches.
The Wolves reside in the sixth seed with a record of 32-20 and are in a virtual tie with the Lakers and Rockets, who sit ahead based on winning percentage.
Entering this matchup, the Timberwolves are 10.5 favorites to win with an over/under of 236.5 points.
Pelicans Stats
New Orleans ranks 24th (112.1) on offense and 27th on defense (118.4). Additionally, the Pelicans hold the 25th-ranked net rating (-6.3) and also run the 12th-quickest pace (101.15).
The West’s 14-place Pelicans average 114.5 points per game while their opponents average 121.0 points. In terms of dimes and boards, New Orleans averages 24.8 (26th) and 43.7 (tied for 17th), respectively.
New Orleans’ team leaders* are Trey Murphy III for scoring (22.1), Derik Queen for assists (4.3) and rebounds (7.3), Herb Jones for steals (1.6), and Yves Missi for blocks (1.4).
As for the perimeter, there are four Pelicans who shoot between 36.3% and 43.6% while the team averages 34.2% from deep.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks seventh offensively (116.9), ninth defensively (112.5), and seventh in net rating (+4.5), running a pace of 101.54, which ranks 10th overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.6 assists (12th) and 44.9 rebounds (12th). Minny scores 119.6 points per game while their opponents average 114.8 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.7 points), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.3) and blocks (1.7), and Julius Randle for assists (5.4) and Donte DiVincenzo for steals (1.4).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.7% from deep with seven players shooting above 36.4%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
Although the Wolves weren’t successful at winning the Giannis Antetokounmpo sweepstakes, they did land Ayo Dosunmu, who should replace the output Nickeil Alexander-Walker provided last season.
Dosunmu is more of a shooting specialist but will offer help in ball handling to take some of the load off Edwards. In addition, since Mike Conley Jr. was traded twice if he’s waived he could resign with Minnesota.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New Orleans’ last 18 games.
- New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against Minnesota.
- Also, Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Pelicans Wolves Free Pick: Pelicans +10.5
Here is my Pelicans Wolves free pick.
Flying under the radar is just how good Zion Williamson has looked recently. Since returning to the court on December 14th, he hasn’t missed a game and is averaging 21.1 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 3.3 assists in this time frame.
Minnesota didn’t land another sniper to pair with Anthony Edwards, but they did address their need for more ball handling with Ayo Dosunmu.
Frequent readers know how allergic I am to big spreads, and this match is no different. Although the Pelicans aren’t an offensive juggernaut, they’ve played more competitive matches lately, and when that’s coupled with the Wolves’ propensity to play down to their competition, I like the points.
Therefore, take the 10.5 big ones but the Wolves to win the match.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
first dub in Toronto since ‘04. pic.twitter.com/0jQKwGyrbM
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) February 5, 2026
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