Free NBA Pick: Bucks vs. Suns NBA Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Bucks taking on the Suns on Tuesday, July 6th, 2021, at the Phoenix Suns Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Bucks Suns matchup.
2021 NBA Playoffs Handicapping NBA Finals
(0-0) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns (0-0)
Date: Tuesday, July 6th
Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: Phoenix Suns Arena, Phoenix, Arizona
NBA Moneyline Odds: Bucks +215 | Suns -180
NBA Betting Odds: Suns -6
NBA Betting Total: 218.5
Game 1 of the NBA Finals tips off on Tuesday, July 6th with the Phoenix Suns hosting the Milwaukee Bucks to determine the 2020-21 NBA champion.
The teams played each other twice this season with the Suns winning both by a single point. Jrue Holiday was out in one of those matches but otherwise, the teams had their full complement of players.
In those two meetings, both clubs demonstrated their depth and offensive sharing with all five starters reaching double-figures in the February 10th match while the Bucks big 3 scored 25 or more on April 19th, and six Suns collected double-digits.
Phoenix is looking for their first title after losing in 1976 (4-2) to the Celtics and 1993 (4-2) to the Bulls. Milwaukee also makes their third appearance having won in 1971 (4-0) versus Baltimore and losing in 1974 (4-3) to the Celtics.
Already the chess moves are in play as neither team submitted an injury report today which begs the question of whether Giannis Antetokounmpo will play and if he does if there is any lingering effect from the injury.
In the two games played versus the Suns this season he averaged 40 points (scoring 47 in one), 9.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists, and a steal. He also got to the line 15.5 times (21 in the first match). That latter fact could prove more beneficial for Phoenix than Milwaukee if his free throw shooting doesn’t improve.
In the one game, Holiday played he collected 25 points 4.0 rebounds, 8.0 assists, 2 steals, and a block. Khris Middleton averaged 22 points, six rebounds, and eight assists.
It took 16 years for Chris Paul to reach his first NBA Finals while Devin Booker waited six years to reach the postseason and will get a shot at Larry O’B in his first appearance.
This Suns team has played with a fire that runs through the entire roster. Although Paul and Booker will draw major defensive attention what makes them so dangerous is their commitment to unselfish play.
Something else the Bucks will need to address is Deandre Ayton is growing seemingly with each passing series and playing very disciplined.
In the two matches played this season CP3 averaged 25 points, 5 rebounds, 10 assists, and 1.5 steals. Booker produced 27 points, 6.5 rebounds, 5 assists, and 1.5 steals while Ayton averaged 18.5 points and 10 rebounds.
The reserve unit produced an average of 30 points through two games and will present issues particularly from the two Cameron’s — Payne and Johnson. Yet, the Suns’ x-factors will be Mikal Bridges and Jae Crowder specifically in their 3 and D capabilities. If they play to their potential the advantage swings in favor of the Suns.
NBA Betting Trends:
- The teams are 5-5 in the teams last 10 head to head meetings
- The Suns are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 head to head meetings
- Over/Under is 6-4 in the teams last 10 head to head meetings
Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns NBA Prediction:
Proving the adage that defense wins championships these two clubs possess the top two postseason defensive ratings. As for other strengths, Milwaukee feasts on the boards aiding their second chance scoring and points in the paint. Alternatively, the Suns possess a better offensive and net rating, dish more dimes, turn the ball over less and register a better shooting efficiency from all areas of the court.
In fact, the perimeter will be key in this series as Phoenix won that battle 44.4% to 37.8% in their two prior meetings.
Overall, the Suns have been the more consistent squad this postseason and have demonstrated the ability to adapt quickly to new strategies whereas the Bucks vacillate between strong outings and ones where they seem to lack focus.
Clearly, Antetokounmpo’s availability and health are the key factors for the Bucks, but what has me believing the Suns win in six is their ability to capitalize on opponent defensive shortcomings.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Suns ATS
Phoenix also owns the advantage of postseason opening matches winning all three in the prior series while the Bucks are 1-2 in their three matches.
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