Free Pick: Heat vs. Knicks Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Knicks on 11/14 at Madison Square Garden in New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Heat Knicks free pick.
2025 NBA Handicapping – Miami Heat vs New York Knicks
(7-5) Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks (7-4)
Date: Nov 14, 2025
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
NBA Moneyline Odds: Heat +165 | Knicks -200 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Heat +4.5 | Knicks -4.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 234.5
Here’s why I’m taking the underdog Miami as outlined in my Heat Knicks free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Heat vs. Knicks Gameday
This is the first of a home-and-home series as the Heat arrive following a loss to the Cavaliers.
Home cooking had been a thing for the Knicks, who were unbeaten at MSG until the loss on Wednesday to the Magic.
That situation gets even more tenuous as Jalen Brunson suffered a high ankle injury requiring him to leave the arena on crutches and with a boot on.
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Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Odds & Last 5
Last year, the Knicks owned the Heat, sweeping the three-game series, while this season, Miami is up 1-0 after their initial meeting on October 26th.
Miami enters this match with a tally of 7-5 on the season, while the Knicks sit at 7-4.
New York is favored by 4.5 points, with an over/under of 234.5 points.
Heat Stats
Miami ranks tied for 14th (115.7) on offense and tied for eighth on defense (112.3). Additionally, the Wolves hold the 11th-ranked net rating (+3.4) and run the quickest pace (106.70) in the association.
Through 12 games, the Heat are faring well in several categories, ranking first in field goals made, assists, and points per game.
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Knicks Stats
New York ranks third offensively (120.1), 12th defensively (112.9), and fourth in net rating (+7.2), running a pace of 100.50, which ranks 16th overall.
Mike Brown has the Knicks playing with more ball movement to augment balanced scoring. When they win, that strategy is working. When they lose, they revert to having Jalen Brunson play more on the ball, where he walks opponents down to get his own shot.
That won’t be an issue in this match since Brunson won’t play due to the ankle sprain.
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks bottom line: New York has played exceptionally well at home, only losing once in eight tries, but without Brunson, will the offense be as lethal?
Miami, on the other hand, is relying on its newly minted fast pace to get more shots up than its opponents and then taking advantage with its accuracy.
Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Basketball Betting Trends
- Miami is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games.
- Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
- Also, New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York’s last 8 games.
- Additionally, New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
Heat Knicks Free Pick: Heat +4.5
Here is my Heat Knicks free pick. These clubs have a long storied history, so there is always a bit of excitement when they meet.
Perimeter shooting will factor in this match with both clubs ranking seventh in efficiency (37.9%) although the Knicks take more shots from deep (43.4) than Miami (35.8) resulting in three additional Knicks makes.
Not to harp on Brunson, but he’s so much a part of the offense it’s hard to envision the Knicks playing with the same level of success without him.
For that reason I’ll take the points and the Heat in this meeting.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
New York Knicks star Jalen Brunson sustained a Grade 1 right ankle sprain and will miss Friday’s game against the Miami Heat, sources tell ESPN. He will be evaluated daily. pic.twitter.com/cqdzfmzxBa
— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) November 13, 2025
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